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Utah Mammoth at Los Angeles Kings

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Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Utah Mammoth 4-3. The Kings came back from two goals down. The Coyotes led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Carl Grundstrom's goal at 13:55 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 52% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 2.5 to 2.1; shots on goal were ARI 27, LAK 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.9 goals below expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 24 of 27 (.889). Three stars: 1. Drew Doughty (2 A), 2. Anze Kopitar, 3. Blake Lizotte (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    D. Doughty2 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    B. Lizotte1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI2918010327
LAKLAK11109310430

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.28win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    9:30
  2. ARI
    wristxG 0.01win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    14:44
  3. LAK
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    17:21

2nd period

  1. ARI
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    5:55

3rd period

  1. LAK
    slapxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    1:18
  2. LAK
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +27 pts
    3-3
    4:17
  3. LAK
    T. Moore (11), D. Doughty (22)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +36 pts
    3-4
    13:55

Penalties

ARI 2 PIM·LAK 4 PIM

1st

  • 9:50ARIJakob Chychrun · Hookingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min
  • 19:29LAKKurtis MacDermid · Elbowingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min

2nd

  • 19:12LAKMikey Anderson · Slashingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalARI goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Carl Grundstrom, 3rd 13:55 — LAK 52% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Lizotte · Missed · xG 0.12J. Anderson-Dolan · Goal · xG 0.12D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.12A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.10A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.09B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.09A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.09A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.08A. Kempe · Goal · xG 0.08C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.07D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.07A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.07D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.07J. Carter · Goal · xG 0.06A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.06J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.06S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.06A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.06C. Grundstrom · Goal · xG 0.06A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.05J. Anderson-Dolan · On goal · xG 0.05D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.05A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.04A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.04A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.03B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.03K. Clague · On goal · xG 0.03D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.03K. MacDermid · Missed · xG 0.02T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.02T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.02M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02K. Clague · On goal · xG 0.02K. MacDermid · Missed · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01K. Clague · Missed · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01J. Anderson-Dolan · Missed · xG 0.00S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK4 G · 2.1 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsLAK
2.53 G
All situations
4 G2.1
2.03 G
Even strength
4 G1.9
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI56%44%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 2.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsLAK
27
Shots on goal
30
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
27
Hits
25
9
Blocked shots
11
2
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000-100.02400—23:55
33A. GoligoskiD000+130.12010—22:39
6J. ChychrunD022+120.09112—21:28
46I. LyubushkinD101020.03310—19:23
83C. GarlandR000-120.05000—19:21
8N. SchmaltzC000-100.061103318:15
58M. BuntingL000-110.1810010018:13
18C. DvorakC000+140.432005717:31
81P. KesselR011-210.14000—17:21
9C. KellerR000-230.44010—16:07
67L. CrouseL112+230.39300—15:45
55J. DemersD000-110.02110—15:09
82J. OesterleD000-100.00020—14:57
36C. FischerR022+220.3521010014:39
16D. BrassardC000-100.082002214:36
22J. LarssonL101-110.094002714:08
93L. PedersonC000010.01300008:48
26M. ChaputC000010.01000007:20
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Hill(L)30264.8672.13-1.8758:25

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).