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Los Angeles Kings at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV BSAZX, KCOP-13·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Utah Mammoth 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gabriel Vilardi's goal at 4:42 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 48% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.3 to 2.6; shots on goal were LAK 22, ARI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Cal Petersen stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Adin Hill stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anze Kopitar (1 A), 2. Gabriel Vilardi (2 G), 3. Conor Garland (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar1 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    G. Vilardi2 G
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    C. Garland2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK2804210422
ARIARI21301106230

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:19
  2. LAK
    slapxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    4:29
  3. LAK
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    13:03
  4. ARI
    wristxG 0.04win prob +11 pts
    2-2
    17:44

3rd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.24win prob +27 pts
    3-2
    4:42
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.31win prob +5 pts
    4-2
    19:23

Penalties

LAK 10 PIM·ARI 4 PIM

1st

  • 17:35LAKAdrian Kempe · Hookingdrawn by Jakob Chychrun2 min

2nd

  • 2:42LAKBrendan Lemieux · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by John Hayden2 min
  • 2:42ARIJohn Hayden · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min
  • 7:04LAKDustin Brown · Hookingdrawn by Johan Larsson2 min
  • 18:13LAKSean Walker · Interferencedrawn by Johan Larsson2 min

3rd

  • 7:56LAKAndreas Athanasiou · Illegal check to headdrawn by Conor Garland2 min
  • 11:44ARIJohn Hayden · Interferencedrawn by Dustin Brown2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalLAK goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Gabriel Vilardi, 3rd 4:42 — LAK 48% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.23J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.14C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.14L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.13D. Brassard · Missed · xG 0.13P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.12M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.12P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.10J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.10L. Pederson · Missed · xG 0.10L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.10J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.09C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.09L. Pederson · On goal · xG 0.08D. Brassard · Missed · xG 0.08L. Pederson · On goal · xG 0.06C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.05O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.05I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.05A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.05J. Chychrun · Goal · xG 0.04P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.04J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.04C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.04C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.04C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.04J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.03J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.03P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.02D. Brassard · Missed · xG 0.02M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.02C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · Goal · xG 0.02C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.02C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.02M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI2 G · 2.6 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsARI
3.33 G
All situations
2 G2.6
2.03 G
Even strength
1 G2.3
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK42%58%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.14 – 2.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsARI
22
Shots on goal
30
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/1
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
4
22
Hits
30
15
Blocked shots
10
7
Giveaways
7
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000+100.01210—23:19
44M. AndersonD000+100.10310—22:09
11A. KopitarC011+110.611005221:20
3M. RoyD000-100.01120—19:52
33T. BjornfotD000-100.00310—19:04
9A. KempeR000+140.21112—18:27
26S. WalkerD123+320.76002—17:56
23D. BrownR000+110.1921210017:41
12T. MooreL000+110.06110—17:35
19A. IafalloL011+110.0300010017:25
6O. MaattaD000+310.20020—15:37
13G. VilardiC202+120.441005014:29
22A. AthanasiouC011+120.22002014:14
55Q. ByfieldR011030.221102013:08
24L. AnderssonC011+100.0721010012:22
28J. Anderson-DolanC101+130.16030009:43
91C. GrundstromR000000.00300—09:20
48B. LemieuxL000010.03102—08:07
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Petersen(W)30282.9332.61+0.6160:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).