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Golden Knights at Ducks
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Anaheim Ducks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-2. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Danton Heinen's goal at 14:06 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 15% to 32%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.2 to 2.3; shots on goal were VGK 29, ANA 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 33 of 35 (.943); John Gibson stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Max Pacioretty (1 G, 1 A), 2. Maxime Comtois (1 G), 3. Alex Tuch (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    M. Pacioretty1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    M. Comtois1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    A. Tuch1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK2621419529
ANAANA112111012235

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:25
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    6:23
  3. VGK
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    14:46

2nd period

  1. VGK
    slapxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    2:43
  2. ANA
    slapxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    14:06
  3. VGK
    M. Stone(15)PPG
    wristxG 0.28win prob +13 pts
    4-2
    18:13

3rd period

  1. VGK
    A. Tuch(16)EN
    N. Roy (7), T. Nosek (10)
    wristxG 0.47
    5-2
    18:33

Penalties

VGK 8 PIM·ANA 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:43VGKAlex Tuch · Trippingdrawn by Jakob Silfverberg2 min
  • 18:00VGKChandler Stephenson · Hookingdrawn by Max Jones2 min

2nd

  • 4:48ANAMax Jones · Hookingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min
  • 17:55ANAserved by M. Comtois · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 18:28ANAMaxime Comtois · Trippingdrawn by William Karlsson2 min

3rd

  • 7:32VGKNicolas Roy · Holdingdrawn by Maxime Comtois2 min
  • 11:17VGKAlex Pietrangelo · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalVGK goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Danton Heinen, 2nd 14:06 — ANA 15% → 32%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.18R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.16R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.12M. Comtois · Goal · xG 0.11S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.11M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.11J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.10J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.09K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.08D. Heinen · Goal · xG 0.07S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.07M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.07M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.07K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.06D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.06K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.06D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.06T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.06C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.05J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.05K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.05A. Volkov · Missed · xG 0.05N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.04D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.04N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.04A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.03R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.03R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.03K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.03D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.02S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.02R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.02R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.02J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.02C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.01D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.01D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.01M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.00R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.00K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.00R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.00J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.00J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA2 G · 2.3 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsANA
3.24 G
All situations
2 G2.3
2.03 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK60%40%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.74 – 2.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsANA
29
Shots on goal
35
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
15
Hits
22
20
Blocked shots
11
9
Giveaways
10
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7A. PietrangeloD101+210.08022—21:40
3B. McNabbD000000.10120—21:20
23A. MartinezD022+200.00470—20:57
2Z. WhitecloudD011000.00120—18:55
71W. KarlssonC000-120.160005918:45
61M. StoneR112+230.56000—18:38
89A. TuchR101040.77202—18:08
20C. StephensonC000+210.100125717:45
27S. TheodoreD011040.30010—17:19
67M. PaciorettyL112+230.45200—16:15
14N. HagueD000030.05110—15:43
81J. MarchessaultR000-110.17000—15:39
26M. JanmarkC000-140.27010014:17
92T. NosekL011000.071002913:28
19R. SmithR000-110.02000—12:34
10N. RoyC112+210.071123011:34
28W. CarrierL011+100.00100—08:50
13T. JurcoR000+110.04120—07:58
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(W)35332.9432.26+0.2660:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).