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Ducks at Golden Knights
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights

FinalTV ATTSN-RM, FS-SD·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-4. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Whitecloud's goal at 16:04 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 52% to 91%. Expected goals were close — ANA 2.7, VGK 2.6; shots on goal were ANA 23, VGK 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Ryan Miller stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 2.4 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Zach Whitecloud (1 G), 2. Cody Glass (2 A), 3. Chandler Stephenson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    Z. Whitecloud1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    C. Glass2 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    C. Stephenson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA061938423
VGKVGK21029112531

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    10:56
  2. VGK
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    18:52

2nd period

  1. VGK
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    2:39
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.13win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    3:38
  3. VGK
    wristxG 0.03win prob +7 pts
    1-4
    16:42

3rd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.09win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    5:02
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    3-4
    7:23
  3. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.39win prob +27 pts
    4-4
    9:59
  4. VGK
    wristxG 0.12win prob +39 pts
    4-5
    16:04

Penalties

ANA 7 PIM·VGK 9 PIM

1st

  • 7:41ANADavid Backes · Interferencedrawn by Nicolas Roy2 min
  • 12:42VGKMarc-Andre Fleury · Throwing equipment2 min
  • 18:56VGKRyan Reaves · Fightingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers5 min
  • 18:56ANANicolas Deslauriers · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Reaves5 min

3rd

  • 8:00VGKNicolas Roy · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Getzlaf2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalANA goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Zach Whitecloud, 3rd 16:04 — VGK 52% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.26C. Stephenson · Goal · xG 0.21J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.14C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.14W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.14M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.14W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.12Z. Whitecloud · Goal · xG 0.12M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.10J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.08D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.08A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.08M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.08N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.08C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.07J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.07C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.07J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.06C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.05N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.05R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.05A. Tuch · Goal · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.04A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.04D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.03J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.03N. Roy · Goal · xG 0.03N. Holden · Missed · xG 0.02N. Holden · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.02N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.02N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.02W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.01D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.01N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.01A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.00M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.00S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK5 G · 2.6 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsVGK
2.74 G
All situations
5 G2.6
2.13 G
Even strength
5 G1.9
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA52%48%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.67 – 2.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsVGK
23
Shots on goal
31
60%
Faceoffs
40%
1/2
Power play
0/1
7
Penalty minutes
9
17
Hits
27
11
Blocked shots
20
2
Giveaways
5
15
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22K. ShattenkirkD022+110.16000—24:12
47H. LindholmD011+110.03120—21:59
4C. FowlerD000-320.10100—20:43
67R. RakellR011040.41210—19:22
23S. SteelC000-110.182004418:40
43D. HeinenL000-110.50000—18:11
33J. SilfverbergR000-130.12010—17:15
28J. HakanpääD000-210.10000—17:13
32J. LarssonD000-100.00010—16:48
15R. GetzlafC101-140.781207115:38
53M. ComtoisL011000.00120—15:28
7B. HuttonD011010.01110—15:12
14A. HenriqueC101-110.080106714:37
48I. LundestromC101010.130006714:24
61T. TerryR112-110.0910010014:09
24C. RowneyC000000.00000013:52
21D. BackesR000010.003026312:10
20N. DeslauriersL000000.04405—10:08
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30R. Miller(L)31265.8392.60-2.4057:59

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).