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Golden Knights at Ducks
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Anaheim Ducks

Final/OTTV ATTSN-RM, FS-SD·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-2 in overtime, William Karlsson scoring at 3:23. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Golden Knights led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was William Karlsson's goal at 3:23 of overtime, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.4 to 3.0; shots on goal were VGK 27, ANA 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 1.4 goals saved above expected; John Gibson stopped 24 of 27 (.889). Three stars: 1. William Karlsson (2 G), 2. Alex Pietrangelo (1 G, 1 A), 3. Cam Fowler (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    W. Karlsson2 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    A. Pietrangelo1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    C. Fowler1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VGKVGK17170914327
ANAANA160511306230

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    10:09
  2. VGK
    snapxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    16:29

2nd period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.15win prob +19 pts
    2-1
    9:10

3rd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.10win prob +34 pts
    2-2
    11:05

Overtime

  1. VGK
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    3:23

Penalties

VGK 4 PIM·ANA 6 PIM

1st

  • 13:08ANARyan Getzlaf · Trippingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min

3rd

  • 8:02ANADerek Grant · Trippingdrawn by Cody Glass2 min
  • 8:15VGKShea Theodore · Interferencedrawn by Adam Henrique2 min
  • 8:38ANAHampus Lindholm · Holdingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min
  • 11:05VGKserved by K. Kolesar · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalVGK goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: William Karlsson, OT 3:23 — VGK 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.29I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.21A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.17R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.17S. Milano · Missed · xG 0.16A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.16I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.15R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.14R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.14R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.12R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.11M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.11R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.10M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.10S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.10A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.09M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.09M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.09R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.08K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.08I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.07M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.06M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.06D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.05J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.05I. Lundeström · Missed · xG 0.05J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.04M. Comtois · Missed · xG 0.04C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.04I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.03R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.03C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hutton · Missed · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hutton · Missed · xG 0.02R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hakanpää · Missed · xG 0.02R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hakanpää · Missed · xG 0.02M. Comtois · Missed · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hutton · Missed · xG 0.01R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.01N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.00
ANA2 G · 3.4 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsANA
3.03 G
All situations
2 G3.4
2.73 G
Even strength
2 G3.4
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK48%52%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.96 – 3.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsANA
27
Shots on goal
30
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/3
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
32
13
Blocked shots
23
14
Giveaways
10
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7A. PietrangeloD112+240.21030—26:24
27S. TheodoreD022+330.23012—24:51
2Z. WhitecloudD000-110.05310—21:03
61M. StoneR000000.25000—20:14
71W. KarlssonC202+230.401002118:48
67M. PaciorettyL000-150.5511010018:12
23A. MartinezD000-140.28020—17:48
19R. SmithR011-100.13010—17:18
89A. TuchR000030.4210010016:53
20C. StephensonC000010.161005616:20
14N. HagueD000-110.09320—15:41
81J. MarchessaultR000000.00000—15:22
9C. GlassC000-100.080004714:31
52D. CoghlanD000-100.05000—13:27
75R. ReavesR000+200.00500—12:51
55K. KolesarR011+100.000004312:40
10N. RoyC000-110.022103312:07
28W. CarrierL000+110.03210—11:16
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(W)30282.9333.41+1.4163:10

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).