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Golden Knights at Ducks
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Anaheim Ducks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-1. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chandler Stephenson's goal at 14:44 of the first period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 60% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 2.8 to 1.5; shots on goal were VGK 31, ANA 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Robin Lehner stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 0.5 goals saved above expected; John Gibson stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Chandler Stephenson (2 G, 1 A), 2. Shea Theodore (1 G, 1 A), 3. John Gibson (26 saves, .839).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    C. Stephenson2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    S. Theodore1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    J. Gibson26 saves, .839

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK2918214531
ANAANA0100618124

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    snapxG 0.20win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    0:28
  2. VGK
    wristxG 0.21win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    14:44

2nd period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.01win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    6:12

3rd period

  1. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.32win prob +7 pts
    3-1
    2:00
  2. VGK
    backhandxG 0.32win prob +6 pts
    4-1
    5:39
  3. VGK
    slapxG 0.02win prob +1 pts
    5-1
    7:17

Penalties

VGK 4 PIM·ANA 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:52VGKZach Whitecloud · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Getzlaf2 min

2nd

  • 7:53ANADavid Backes · Trippingdrawn by Zach Whitecloud2 min
  • 12:28ANANicolas Deslauriers · Roughingdrawn by Zach Whitecloud2 min

3rd

  • 10:36VGKAlex Tuch · Trippingdrawn by Andy Welinski2 min
  • 18:16ANAKevin Shattenkirk · Holdingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalVGK goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Chandler Stephenson, 1st 14:44 — VGK 60% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Steel · Goal · xG 0.32M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.14R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.09A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.09M. Comtois · Missed · xG 0.09J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.08S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.08K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.08T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.06H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.05D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.05S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.04M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.04D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.03K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.03A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.02N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.02T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.02J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.02R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.02D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.02A. Welinski · On goal · xG 0.02T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.02A. Welinski · On goal · xG 0.02A. Welinski · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.01N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.01M. Comtois · Missed · xG 0.01J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.01D. Backes · Missed · xG 0.01N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.00J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.00D. Backes · Missed · xG 0.00M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.00D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.00A. Welinski · On goal · xG 0.00N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.00J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.00S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA1 G · 1.5 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsANA
2.85 G
All situations
1 G1.5
2.35 G
Even strength
1 G1.1
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK74%26%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.80 – 1.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsANA
31
Shots on goal
24
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
13
Hits
26
15
Blocked shots
6
16
Giveaways
7
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20C. StephensonC213+420.580004021:18
7A. PietrangeloD022+320.10000—21:04
27S. TheodoreD112+240.14010—21:01
23A. MartinezD000+320.39020—20:50
71W. KarlssonC101+140.771105020:41
26M. JanmarkC000020.160001120:08
61M. StoneR000+210.11010—19:46
81J. MarchessaultR011+240.2100010019:18
67M. PaciorettyL011+210.10110—19:00
3B. McNabbD011+210.03020—18:59
14N. HagueD000-110.05420—17:05
89A. TuchR000+220.15102—16:38
2Z. WhitecloudD000-110.01122—16:37
28W. CarrierL101010.01210—13:55
15D. SikuraR000-120.03200—11:37
52D. CoghlanD000010.00020—10:42
10N. RoyC000000.001002505:48
92T. NosekL000000.000005001:39
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90R. Lehner(W)24231.9581.54+0.5460:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).