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Los Angeles Kings at Colorado Avalanche

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Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Los Angeles Kings 5-1. The Kings scored first; the Avalanche answered. The Avalanche led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyson Jost's goal at 11:38 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.1 to 1.4; shots on goal were LAK 22, COL 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 88% of the time. Troy Grosenick stopped 38 of 43 (.884), 0.9 goals below expected; Jonas Johansson stopped 21 of 22 (.955). Three stars: 1. Tyson Jost (2 G), 2. Andre Burakovsky (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mikko Rantanen (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    T. Jost2 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    A. Burakovsky1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    M. Rantanen2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK1401008122
COLCOL012518013543

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.24win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    19:15

2nd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.06win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    9:46
  2. COL
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    11:38
  3. COL
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    14:26
  4. COL
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +7 pts
    1-4
    16:50
  5. COL
    D. Toews (22), C. Makar (36)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +2 pts
    1-5
    18:58

Penalties

LAK 9 PIM·COL 19 PIM

2nd

  • 17:50COLRyan Graves · Instigatordrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min
  • 17:50COLRyan Graves · Fightingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux5 min
  • 17:50COLRyan Graves · Misconduct10 min
  • 17:50LAKBrendan Lemieux · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Graves5 min
  • 18:09LAKAlex Iafallo · Trippingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min

3rd

  • 5:43COLPatrik Nemeth · Holdingdrawn by Tobias Bjornfot2 min
  • 11:50LAKGabriel Vilardi · Hookingdrawn by Jayson Megna2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalLAK goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Tyson Jost, 2nd 11:38 — COL 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.42V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.15P. Bellemare · Goal · xG 0.15A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.14G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.14A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.13T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.13J. Donskoi · Goal · xG 0.12J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.12N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.12T. Jost · Goal · xG 0.12J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.12A. Burakovsky · Goal · xG 0.11J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.11A. Newhook · Missed · xG 0.10A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.10G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.09J. Donskoi · Missed · xG 0.09T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.08C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.08T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.08A. Newhook · Missed · xG 0.08D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.07T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.07A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.06J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.06T. Jost · Goal · xG 0.06J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.06R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.06J. Donskoi · Missed · xG 0.06J. Megna · Missed · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.05A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.05A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.05J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.04T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.04T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.04A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.04G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.04T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.03A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.03R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.03A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.03T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.03A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.01C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.01
COL5 G · 4.1 xG · 59 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsCOL
1.41 G
All situations
5 G4.1
1.41 G
Even strength
5 G3.9
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK12%88%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.44 – 4.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsCOL
22
Shots on goal
43
62%
Faceoffs
38%
0/2
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
19
13
Hits
8
23
Blocked shots
13
0
Giveaways
2
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. AndersonD000-120.02020—24:05
8D. DoughtyD000-330.08210—23:20
26S. WalkerD101-120.25130—20:29
11A. KopitarC000-320.031006219:19
19A. IafalloL000-310.09112—19:14
33T. BjornfotD000-120.12120—17:47
91C. GrundstromR000-300.00110—17:17
3M. RoyD000-100.01220—17:12
13G. VilardiC000000.000024416:49
12T. MooreL000000.00010—15:04
6O. MaattaD000-120.11130—14:43
9A. KempeR000-130.46010—14:17
24L. AnderssonC000+100.00020013:56
89R. KupariC000020.051106813:22
43D. RymshaC000+100.00000013:16
64M. LuffR000-120.09110—12:22
48B. LemieuxL000-110.13105—12:15
28J. Anderson-DolanC000-100.000206711:13
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1T. Grosenick(L)43385.8844.13-0.8760:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).