Los Angeles Kings at Colorado Avalanche
Recap
written from the game dataThe Colorado Avalanche beat the Los Angeles Kings 2-0. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikko Rantanen's goal at 9:18 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.9 to 1.1; shots on goal were LAK 18, COL 46. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Cal Petersen stopped 44 of 45 (.978), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 18 of 18 (1.000), 1.1 goals saved above expected.
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
2 goals2nd period
0-19:18
3rd period
0-218:37
Penalties
1st
- 5:39
Carl Grundstrom · Trippingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min
2nd
- 9:46
Matt Luff · Fightingdrawn by Dan Renouf5 min
- 9:46
Dan Renouf · Fightingdrawn by Matt Luff5 min
- 17:10
Tyson Jost · Interferencedrawn by Andreas Athanasiou2 min
3rd
- 2:54
Mikey Anderson · Interferencedrawn by Matt Calvert2 min
- 11:03
Matt Calvert · Hookingdrawn by Andreas Athanasiou2 min
- 15:30
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare · Trippingdrawn by Dustin Brown2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Mikko Rantanen, 2nd 9:18 — 53% → 71%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.10 G
- All situations
- 1 G3.9
- 0.90 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.4
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.12 – 2.91
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 18
- Shots on goal
- 46
- 51%
- Faceoffs
- 49%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 0/2
- 9
- Penalty minutes
- 11
- 14
- Hits
- 5
- 23
- Blocked shots
- 9
- 8
- Giveaways
- 3
- 4
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
