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Los Angeles Kings at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV ESPN+, FS-W·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Los Angeles Kings 2-0. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikko Rantanen's goal at 9:18 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.9 to 1.1; shots on goal were LAK 18, COL 46. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Cal Petersen stopped 44 of 45 (.978), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 18 of 18 (1.000), 1.1 goals saved above expected.

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK070605018
COLCOL017116113246

Scoring

2 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.02win prob +18 pts
    0-1
    9:18

3rd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.95win prob +6 pts
    0-2
    18:37

Penalties

LAK 9 PIM·COL 11 PIM

1st

  • 5:39LAKCarl Grundstrom · Trippingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min

2nd

  • 9:46LAKMatt Luff · Fightingdrawn by Dan Renouf5 min
  • 9:46COLDan Renouf · Fightingdrawn by Matt Luff5 min
  • 17:10COLTyson Jost · Interferencedrawn by Andreas Athanasiou2 min

3rd

  • 2:54LAKMikey Anderson · Interferencedrawn by Matt Calvert2 min
  • 11:03COLMatt Calvert · Hookingdrawn by Andreas Athanasiou2 min
  • 15:30COLPierre-Edouard Bellemare · Trippingdrawn by Dustin Brown2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalLAK goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Mikko Rantanen, 2nd 9:18 — COL 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.95B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.24A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.17G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.16V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.15G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.12G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.09N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.09P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.09G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.07A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.07B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.07T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.06D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.06V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.06T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.05P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.05T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.05S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.04S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.03P. Bellemare · Missed · xG 0.03G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.03D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.03B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.03A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02D. Renouf · Missed · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.01P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.01L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.00G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.00P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.00
COL2 G · 3.9 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsCOL
1.10 G
All situations
1 G3.9
0.90 G
Even strength
1 G2.4
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK18%82%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.12 – 2.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsCOL
18
Shots on goal
46
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/3
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
11
14
Hits
5
23
Blocked shots
9
8
Giveaways
3
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000-110.03230—27:32
3M. RoyD000-100.02210—19:34
11A. KopitarC000-110.031004519:19
44M. AndersonD000000.00012—19:09
26S. WalkerD000000.00140—18:25
9A. KempeR000-120.24010—18:22
12T. MooreL000010.10000—17:49
77J. CarterC000-230.16010016:37
23D. BrownR000-140.05110—15:53
91C. GrundstromR000000.00112—15:08
33T. BjornfotD000-100.00020—14:54
22A. AthanasiouC000-200.00020014:26
13G. VilardiC000-110.070005314:03
56K. MacDermidL000010.01230—13:47
46B. LizotteC000010.031106913:04
10M. AmadioR000000.110204012:32
27A. WagnerL000020.09300—11:47
64M. LuffR000010.16005—11:39
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Petersen(L)45441.9782.93+1.9359:48

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).