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Avalanche at Kings
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Los Angeles Kings

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
Los Angeles Kings
2
FinalTV BSW, ALT2·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Los Angeles Kings 3-2. The Kings scored first; the Avalanche answered. The Avalanche led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cale Makar's goal at 10:02 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 66% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.4 to 1.1; shots on goal were COL 37, LAK 17. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 87% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 15 of 17 (.882), 0.9 goals below expected; Cal Petersen stopped 34 of 37 (.919). Three stars: 1. Cale Makar (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mikko Rantanen (1 G), 3. Andre Burakovsky (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    C. Makar1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    M. Rantanen1 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    A. Burakovsky2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL11821306337
LAKLAK150517217

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    B. Lemieux(4)
    C. Grundstrom (5), S. Walker (12)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:12
  2. COL
    M. Rantanen(30)PPG
    C. Makar (34), A. Burakovsky (20)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +9 pts
    1-1
    5:49

2nd period

  1. COL
    T. Jost(5)
    J. MacDonald (8), D. Toews (19)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    2:56
  2. COL
    C. Makar(7)
    A. Burakovsky (21), A. Newhook (1)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    10:02

3rd period

  1. LAK
    G. Vilardi(10)
    L. Andersson (2)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +7 pts
    3-2
    17:26

Penalties

COL 2 PIM·LAK 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:52LAKserved by A. Wagner · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 17:02LAKAdrian Kempe · High stickingdrawn by Devon Toews2 min
  • 17:52COLCale Makar · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Cal Petersen2 min

3rd

  • 10:03LAKAdrian Kempe · High sticking double minordrawn by Gabriel Landeskog4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalCOL goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Cale Makar, 2nd 10:02 — COL 66% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.17G. Vilardi · Goal · xG 0.15L. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.13G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.11S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.10B. Lemieux · Goal · xG 0.08D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.07Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.06O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.06A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.03C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.03C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.02A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.02M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.01C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.01M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01L. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.01A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK2 G · 1.1 xG · 21 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsLAK
3.43 G
All situations
2 G1.1
2.42 G
Even strength
2 G1.1
1.01 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL87%13%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.32 – 1.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsLAK
37
Shots on goal
17
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/4
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
8
23
Hits
27
8
Blocked shots
19
6
Giveaways
5
2
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. ToewsD011010.01110—26:28
8C. MakarD112+170.48212—23:03
27R. GravesD000030.19300—22:48
22C. TimminsD000-130.09010—20:42
96M. RantanenR101+170.69000—20:37
92G. LandeskogL000+140.212105719:27
13V. NichushkinR000-120.19310—19:02
17T. JostC101+110.090102918:12
91N. KadriC000-130.170003617:24
72J. DonskoiR000040.89000—16:44
26J. MacDonaldD011000.00410—15:51
95A. BurakovskyL022+110.09110—14:09
18A. NewhookC011+100.020006713:29
37J. CompherL000000.001006013:12
44K. SherwoodL000-110.24300—11:15
41P. BellemareL000-100.050008810:15
34C. SoderbergC000-100.00300009:42
24P. NemethD000000.00000—05:43
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(W)17152.8821.09-0.9159:57

Season series

COL leads 7-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).