Los Angeles Kings at Colorado Avalanche
Recap
written from the game dataThe Colorado Avalanche beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andre Burakovsky's goal at 14:05 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 73% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.6 to 1.9; shots on goal were LAK 28, COL 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Cal Petersen stopped 37 of 40 (.925); Philipp Grubauer stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 0.9 goals saved above expected.
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-111:05
2nd period
0-214:05
0-317:09
3rd period
1-36:07
1-416:41
Penalties
1st
- 3:08
Adrian Kempe · Hookingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
- 12:36
Logan O'Connor · Trippingdrawn by Matt Roy2 min
- 18:34
served by A. Burakovsky · Too many men on the ice2 min
2nd
- 2:28
Nazem Kadri · Interferencedrawn by Michael Amadio2 min
3rd
- 9:33
Ryan Graves · Trippingdrawn by Matt Luff2 min
- 16:50
Nazem Kadri · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Andre Burakovsky, 2nd 14:05 — 73% → 88%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.91 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.6
- 1.41 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.1
- 0.50 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.93 – 2.67
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 41
- 46%
- Faceoffs
- 54%
- 0/5
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 21
- Hits
- 16
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 20
- 3
- Giveaways
- 6
- 5
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
