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San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV NBCSCA, BSN·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the San Jose Sharks 5-2. The Sharks scored first; the Wild answered. The Wild led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Parise's goal at 15:47 of the first period, which took the Wild's chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals were close — SJS 1.7, MIN 1.9; shots on goal were SJS 28, MIN 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 19 of 24 (.792), 3.4 goals below expected; Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 26 of 28 (.929). Three stars: 1. Nico Sturm (1 G), 2. Jonas Brodin (1 A), 3. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    N. Sturm1 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Brodin1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS1908111228
MINMIN3172704528

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    12:02
  2. MIN
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    14:35
  3. MIN
    deflectedxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    15:11
  4. MIN
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    15:47

2nd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    1:14
  2. MIN
    wrap-aroundxG 0.05win prob +2 pts
    1-5
    19:11

3rd period

  1. SJS
    K. Labanc (15), R. Donato (14)
    wristxG 0.10
    2-5
    17:45

Penalties

SJS 8 PIM·MIN 4 PIM

1st

  • 12:35SJSMario Ferraro · Hookingdrawn by Nico Sturm2 min
  • 18:40SJSErik Karlsson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:11SJSTomas Hertl · Cross checkingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min

2nd

  • 19:11SJSserved by R. Donato · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

3rd

  • 9:33MINCarson Soucy · Trippingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min
  • 15:38MINMathew Dumba · Interferencedrawn by Timo Meier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalSJS goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Zach Parise, 1st 15:47 — MIN 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.19V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.15N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.15K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.14M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.10M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.08M. Zuccarello · Goal · xG 0.08K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.08K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.07J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.06K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.05V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.05N. Sturm · Goal · xG 0.05N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.04M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.04J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.04K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.03V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.03M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.03R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.02K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.02J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.02C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.02C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Parise · Goal · xG 0.01V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.01K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.01J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.01
MIN5 G · 1.9 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsMIN
1.72 G
All situations
5 G1.9
1.72 G
Even strength
4 G1.1
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS46%54%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.71 – 1.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsMIN
28
Shots on goal
28
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
22
Hits
17
11
Blocked shots
10
2
Giveaways
10
8
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88B. BurnsD101-130.05030—28:35
38M. FerraroD000010.04022—23:02
65E. KarlssonD000-210.03002—21:11
39L. CoutureC000020.370005917:56
62K. LabancR011+120.02100—17:34
9E. KaneL000-110.03300—17:23
71N. KnyzhovD000-220.03200—17:10
51R. SimekD000+100.00120—16:23
7D. GambrellC000-310.070305015:57
48T. HertlC011010.084026014:38
12P. MarleauC000+100.0000010014:16
92R. BalcersL011+130.19100—13:33
28T. MeierR000-150.20300—13:29
16R. DonatoC011000.10100013:22
20M. SorensenL000-200.01300—12:43
46J. KellmanC101030.300005812:02
44M. VlasicD000000.00110—11:38
73N. GregorL000-230.19200—11:08
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31M. Jones(L)24195.7921.56-3.4440:00
32J. Korenar4401.0000.34+0.3420:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).