Sharks at Wild 2-3 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

San Jose Sharks

Minnesota Wild

▸3

FinalTV ESPN+, NBCSCA·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the San Jose Sharks 3-2. The Sharks scored first; the Wild answered. The Wild led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mats Zuccarello's goal at 2:15 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals were close — SJS 1.8, MIN 2.0; shots on goal were SJS 22, MIN 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 15 of 18 (.833), 1.0 goals below expected; Cam Talbot stopped 20 of 22 (.909). Three stars: 1. Nick Bonino (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jonas Brodin, 3. Zach Parise (1 G).

Three stars

★
N. Bonino1 G, 1 A
★★
J. Brodin
★★★
Z. Parise1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
SJS	18	04	110	222
MIN	14	27	07	318

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

T. Hertl(13)
R. Simek (4), M. Vlasic (5)
snapxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
1-0
3:32
N. Bonino(6)
Unassisted
slapxG 0.25win prob +13 pts
1-1
9:30

2nd period

M. Zuccarello(9)
V. Rask (9)
snapxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
1-2
2:15
Z. Parise(6)
M. Dumba (9), N. Bonino (8)
snapxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
1-3
3:20

3rd period

E. Kane(17)SHG
Unassisted
snapxG 0.21win prob +8 pts
2-3
13:43

Penalties

6 PIM·

2 PIM

2nd

4:32Ryan Suter · Slashingdrawn by Rudolfs Balcers2 min
8:59Tomas Hertl · Holdingdrawn by Jared Spurgeon2 min

3rd

9:54Kevin Labanc · Trippingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
13:00Logan Couture · High stickingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: MIN

100%

Biggest swing: Mats Zuccarello, 2nd 2:15 — MIN 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

3 G · 2.0 xG · 31 att

←

attacks

attacks →

2 G · 1.8 xG · 32 att MIN

3 G · 2.0 xG · 31 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

1.82 G
All situations: 3 G2.0; 1.51 G
Even strength: 3 G1.8; 0.10 G
Power play: 0 G0.2; 0.21 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 63 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

46%54%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.75 – 1.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

22
Shots on goal: 18; 39%
Faceoffs: 61%; 0/1
Power play: 0/3; 6
Penalty minutes: 2; 22
Hits: 12; 11
Blocked shots: 14; 4
Giveaways: 10; 6
Takeaways: 5

Box score

every player line

San Jose Sharks skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
88B. BurnsD	0	0	0	+1	2	0.07	1	3	0	—	26:10
65E. KarlssonD	0	0	0	0	3	0.10	0	3	0	—	23:32
38M. FerraroD	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	2	0	—	21:58
9E. KaneL	1	0	1	0	2	0.28	3	2	0	—	21:47
48T. HertlC	1	0	1	+1	2	0.16	0	0	2	47	19:29
62K. LabancR	0	0	0	-2	2	0.46	0	0	2	—	19:26
39L. CoutureC	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	2	0	2	50	19:07
71N. KnyzhovD	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	2	1	0	—	17:33
7D. GambrellC	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	1	0	0	0	16:45
44M. VlasicD	0	1	1	0	3	0.02	0	0	0	—	16:37
28T. MeierR	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	1	0	0	100	15:39
12P. MarleauC	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	0	15:29
92R. BalcersL	0	0	0	+1	2	0.24	3	0	0	—	15:10
20M. SorensenL	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	—	14:56
51R. SimekD	0	1	1	-2	0	0.01	0	0	0	—	12:15
16R. DonatoC	0	0	0	-1	1	0.15	1	0	0	0	07:17
37F. HandemarkC	0	0	0	-2	1	0.15	0	0	0	29	06:45
63J. VielL	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	3	0	0	—	05:58

San Jose Sharks goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
31M. Jones(L)	18	15	3	.833	1.97	-1.03	58:07

Season series

MIN leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

2nd

3rd

Box score