Minnesota Wild at San Jose Sharks
Recap
written from the game dataThe Minnesota Wild beat the San Jose Sharks 6-3. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marcus Foligno's goal at 12:00 of the first period, which took the Wild's chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals were close — MIN 2.2, SJS 2.1; shots on goal were MIN 26, SJS 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.9 goals below expected; Josef Korenar stopped 15 of 17 (.882), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G), 2. Kevin Fiala (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jared Spurgeon (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★K. Kaprizov1 G

- ★★K. Fiala1 G, 1 A

- ★★★J. Spurgeon1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals1st period
1-00:19
2-012:00
3-017:43
2nd period
4-019:10
3rd period
4-11:19
5-14:28
5-24:47
5-36:06
6-319:38
Penalties
1st
- 5:26
served by J. Blichfeld · Too many men on the ice2 min
3rd
- 4:08
Rudolfs Balcers · Hookingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
- 15:42
Brent Burns · Slashingdrawn by Nico Sturm2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Marcus Foligno, 1st 12:00 — 60% → 76%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.25 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.1
- 1.74 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.1
- 0.11 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.0
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.83 – 2.05
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 26
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 43%
- Faceoffs
- 57%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 0/0
- 0
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 12
- Hits
- 26
- 9
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 7
- Giveaways
- 8
- 7
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
