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Minnesota Wild at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV NBCSCA, BSN·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the San Jose Sharks 6-3. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marcus Foligno's goal at 12:00 of the first period, which took the Wild's chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals were close — MIN 2.2, SJS 2.1; shots on goal were MIN 26, SJS 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.9 goals below expected; Josef Korenar stopped 15 of 17 (.882), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G), 2. Kevin Fiala (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jared Spurgeon (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov1 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    K. Fiala1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Spurgeon1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN3817211626
SJSSJS04013313330

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    snapxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    0:19
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.20win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    12:00
  3. MIN
    wristxG 0.09win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    17:43

2nd period

  1. MIN
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +3 pts
    4-0
    19:10

3rd period

  1. SJS
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +2 pts
    4-1
    1:19
  2. MIN
    K. Fiala (15), N. Bonino (13)
    slapxG 0.12win prob +1 pts
    5-1
    4:28
  3. SJS
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +2 pts
    5-2
    4:47
  4. SJS
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.10win prob +6 pts
    5-3
    6:06
  5. MIN
    wristxG 0.37
    6-3
    19:38

Penalties

MIN 0 PIM·SJS 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:26SJSserved by J. Blichfeld · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 4:08SJSRudolfs Balcers · Hookingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 15:42SJSBrent Burns · Slashingdrawn by Nico Sturm2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalMIN goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Marcus Foligno, 1st 12:00 — MIN 60% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.22L. Couture · Goal · xG 0.20T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.17E. Kane · Goal · xG 0.15T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.12T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.11T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.10J. Blichfeld · Goal · xG 0.10E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.08M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.07J. Leonard · Missed · xG 0.07E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.07T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.06L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.06E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.05E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.05N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.03D. Gambrell · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Gambrell · On goal · xG 0.02N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.02N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.02M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.02J. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.01J. Leonard · Missed · xG 0.01K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.01K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01N. Knyzhov · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.01T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.01G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.01J. Blichfeld · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.00J. Leonard · Missed · xG 0.00M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.00M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.00N. Knyzhov · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS3 G · 2.1 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsSJS
2.25 G
All situations
3 G2.1
1.74 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN46%54%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.83 – 2.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsSJS
26
Shots on goal
30
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/3
Power play
0/0
0
Penalty minutes
6
12
Hits
26
9
Blocked shots
16
7
Giveaways
8
7
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24M. DumbaD000-110.01020—21:47
25J. BrodinD000000.00110—21:39
20R. SuterD101+310.03120—21:23
46J. SpurgeonD112+110.10100—20:48
36M. ZuccarelloR011030.20000—17:25
97K. KaprizovL101-140.21100—17:12
49V. RaskC000-110.010003816:56
28I. ColeD011+110.01030—16:48
17M. FolignoL101+120.34200—16:07
18J. GreenwayL011+110.03100—15:49
21C. SoucyD000010.01110—15:34
14J. Eriksson EkC011+120.203004015:11
38R. HartmanR011+110.100002715:11
13N. BoninoC112+120.430003314:41
22K. FialaL112+130.35000—14:30
90M. JohanssonL011010.1100010014:24
7N. SturmC000+110.061006712:42
11Z. PariseL000+100.00000—11:53
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34K. Kahkonen(W)30273.9002.09-0.9160:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).