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Minnesota Wild at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV FS-N, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the San Jose Sharks 6-2. The Sharks scored first; the Wild answered. The Wild led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ian Cole's goal at 3:36 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 63% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.6 to 2.9; shots on goal were MIN 34, SJS 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Martin Jones stopped 16 of 20 (.800), 2.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Marcus Foligno (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mats Zuccarello (1 G, 3 A), 3. Victor Rask (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Foligno1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Zuccarello1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    V. Rask1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN212312110634
SJSSJS11311109233

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:45
  2. MIN
    snapxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    7:49
  3. MIN
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    8:00

2nd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    3:36
  2. MIN
    slapxG 0.07win prob +10 pts
    4-1
    10:48
  3. SJS
    wristxG 0.17win prob +9 pts
    4-2
    11:57
  4. MIN
    J. Brodin(3)PPG
    snapxG 0.07win prob +8 pts
    5-2
    17:25

3rd period

  1. MIN
    V. Rask(5)EN
    snapxG 0.76
    6-2
    16:57

Penalties

MIN 11 PIM·SJS 11 PIM

1st

  • 9:56MINJordan Greenway · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min
  • 13:21MINIan Cole · High stickingdrawn by Logan Couture2 min
  • 17:49MINMarcus Foligno · Fightingdrawn by Nikolai Knyzhov5 min
  • 17:49SJSNikolai Knyzhov · Fightingdrawn by Marcus Foligno5 min

2nd

  • 0:55SJSLogan Couture · Slashingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 13:28SJSNikolai Knyzhov · High sticking double minordrawn by Nick Bjugstad4 min
  • 19:02MINJordan Greenway · Trippingdrawn by Patrick Marleau2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalMIN goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Ian Cole, 2nd 3:36 — MIN 63% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Couture · Goal · xG 0.18B. Burns · Goal · xG 0.15R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.14M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.13E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.13M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.11R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.11T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.11M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.10R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.09R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.09P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.09R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.09M. Sorensen · On goal · xG 0.08T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.08T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.08E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.07E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.07T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.06N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.06R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.06T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.05T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.05B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.05N. Knyzhov · Missed · xG 0.05R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.04K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.04R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.04K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.04E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.03M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.03L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.03M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.03M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.02N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.02M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.00
SJS2 G · 2.9 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsSJS
3.65 G
All situations
2 G2.9
1.84 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN42%58%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.44 – 2.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsSJS
34
Shots on goal
33
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/3
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
11
15
Hits
21
12
Blocked shots
9
11
Giveaways
6
8
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD000+100.00140—23:12
46J. SpurgeonD000+110.04110—22:31
25J. BrodinD101-130.09110—22:00
24M. DumbaD000-110.11040—20:07
38R. HartmanR022+100.060105516:47
22K. FialaL000-250.33100—16:16
18J. GreenwayL000-130.07304—15:49
21C. SoucyD022+300.01010—15:38
11Z. PariseL011+230.35100—15:36
28I. ColeD101+330.08002—15:32
14J. Eriksson EkC000-120.131003115:13
17M. FolignoL112+110.07405—15:01
36M. ZuccarelloR134+310.70000—14:56
97K. KaprizovL112+320.29000—14:49
49V. RaskC123+310.760003614:09
13N. BoninoC000020.260008313:42
7N. SturmC000020.07100012:15
27N. BjugstadC000040.1310010010:35
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34K. Kahkonen(W)33312.9392.94+0.9459:52

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).