Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jared McCann's goal at 10:41 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 52% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.8 to 1.9; shots on goal were PHI 22, PIT 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Brian Elliott stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.9 goals below expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Evgeni Malkin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Brandon Tanev (2 A), 3. Scott Laughton (2 A).
Three stars
- ★E. Malkin1 G, 1 A

- ★★B. Tanev2 A

- ★★★S. Laughton2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-06:08
1-17:54
1-218:01
2nd period
2-21:20
3-212:04
3-318:10
3rd period
3-410:41
Penalties
1st
- 0:56
Evgeni Malkin · Interferencedrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
- 6:33
Ivan Provorov · Hookingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
- 11:38
Zachary Aston-Reese · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Robert Hagg2 min
- 11:38
Robert Hagg · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Zachary Aston-Reese2 min
- 13:34
Marcus Pettersson · Holdingdrawn by Kevin Hayes2 min
- 17:49
Michael Raffl · Trippingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
- 19:24
Marcus Pettersson · Hookingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min
2nd
- 4:17
Travis Konecny · Trippingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
- 8:47
Marcus Pettersson · Interferencedrawn by Sean Couturier2 min
- 11:28
Kris Letang · Roughingdrawn by James van Riemsdyk2 min
- 11:28
James van Riemsdyk · Roughingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jared McCann, 3rd 10:41 — 52% → 84%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.93 G
- All situations
- 4 G2.8
- 1.32 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.2
- 0.61 G
- Power play
- 2 G0.8
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 58 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.85 – 2.10
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 22
- Shots on goal
- 27
- 65%
- Faceoffs
- 35%
- 1/4
- Power play
- 2/3
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 12
- 32
- Hits
- 35
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 5
- Giveaways
- 9
- 4
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















