Skip to content

Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV NBCSN, ATTSN-PT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-2. The Flyers scored first; the Penguins answered. The Penguins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kasperi Kapanen's goal at 3:39 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 37% to 53%. Expected goals were close — PHI 2.4, PIT 2.5; shots on goal were PHI 42, PIT 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 2.5 goals below expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 40 of 42 (.952). Three stars: 1. Kasperi Kapanen (2 G), 2. Tristan Jarry (40 saves, .952), 3. Joel Farabee (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    K. Kapanen2 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    T. Jarry40 saves, .952
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    J. Farabee2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI014112116242
PITPIT0531428527

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.17win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    2:32
  2. PIT
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.17win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    3:39
  3. PIT
    J. Guentzel (11), B. Rust (10)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    8:41
  4. PIT
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    10:45

3rd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.23win prob +12 pts
    2-3
    11:00
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    2-4
    12:08
  3. PIT
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.00win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    16:06

Penalties

PHI 6 PIM·PIT 10 PIM

1st

  • 1:48PITZachary Aston-Reese · Trippingdrawn by Philippe Myers2 min
  • 3:57PITMike Matheson · High stickingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min
  • 19:44PHIClaude Giroux · Hookingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min

2nd

  • 7:31PHIMichael Raffl · Interferencedrawn by Cody Ceci2 min
  • 12:14PITSam Lafferty · Holdingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min
  • 19:45PITEvgeni Malkin · Trippingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min

3rd

  • 2:13PITSam Lafferty · Slashingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 16:42PHIMichael Raffl · Roughingdrawn by Mark Friedman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalPHI goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Kasperi Kapanen, 2nd 3:39 — PIT 37% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.28K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.21K. Kapanen · Goal · xG 0.17C. Ceci · Goal · xG 0.15Z. Aston-Reese · Missed · xG 0.14J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.14J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.13B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.13J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.12B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.12K. Kapanen · Goal · xG 0.12E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.10S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.09E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Aston-Reese · Missed · xG 0.07J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Aston-Reese · Missed · xG 0.05J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.05K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.03J. Marino · Missed · xG 0.03K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.03J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.03K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.02E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · Goal · xG 0.00K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.00M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT5 G · 2.5 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsPIT
2.42 G
All situations
5 G2.5
1.42 G
Even strength
4 G1.8
1.00 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI47%53%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.33 – 2.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsPIT
42
Shots on goal
27
62%
Faceoffs
38%
0/5
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
10
33
Hits
30
15
Blocked shots
19
8
Giveaways
8
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000-420.14040—23:02
6T. SanheimD011+130.04040—20:41
53S. GostisbehereD000-340.27020—19:21
5P. MyersD000010.03210—18:02
14S. CouturierC011+170.310006017:51
13K. HayesR000-220.052006717:18
86J. FarabeeL202+140.60510—17:06
28C. GirouxR000-210.231026716:49
19N. PatrickC000-240.114103316:46
93J. VoracekR000-120.1310010016:12
11T. KonecnyR000-120.05100—15:46
25J. van RiemsdykL011+130.26100—15:40
61J. BraunD000+120.05100—15:36
8R. HaggD000+100.02610—14:35
21S. LaughtonC000-120.075108214:06
23O. LindblomL000020.05000—12:52
12M. RafflL000000.00204—11:54
82C. BunnamanC000010.012002011:16
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(L)27225.8152.52-2.4859:57

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).