Skip to content

Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBCSN, ATTSN-PT·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Philadelphia Flyers 7-3. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Couturier's goal at 18:40 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 12% to 29%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.4 to 2.3; shots on goal were PIT 31, PHI 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.8 goals below expected; Brian Elliott stopped 24 of 30 (.800), 3.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sidney Crosby (2 G, 1 A), 2. Jake Guentzel (1 G, 2 A), 3. Claude Giroux (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    S. Crosby2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    J. Guentzel1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    C. Giroux2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT11121248731
PHIPHI07213113333

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    1:44

2nd period

  1. PIT
    K. Letang (36), E. Malkin (18)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    3:10
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.20win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    5:44
  3. PHI
    wristxG 0.04win prob +10 pts
    3-1
    8:21
  4. PHI
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    18:40

3rd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.19win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    7:49
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.01win prob +14 pts
    4-3
    10:23
  3. PIT
    B. Rust (20), J. Guentzel (32)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    5-3
    12:33
  4. PIT
    wristxG 0.94win prob +1 pts
    6-3
    15:53
  5. PIT
    J. Marino(3)PPG
    wristxG 0.05
    7-3
    16:57

Penalties

PIT 9 PIM·PHI 13 PIM

1st

  • 13:58PHIJustin Braun · Trippingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min

2nd

  • 1:32PITMark Friedman · Fightingdrawn by Joel Farabee5 min
  • 1:32PHIJoel Farabee · Fightingdrawn by Mark Friedman5 min
  • 1:32PHIJakub Voracek · Cross checkingdrawn by Mark Friedman2 min
  • 11:03PITSidney Crosby · Roughingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 11:03PHITravis Konecny · Roughingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 13:56PITJared McCann · Trippingdrawn by Nicolas Aube-Kubel2 min

3rd

  • 15:53PHIShayne Gostisbehere · Cross checkingdrawn by Mark Friedman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalPIT goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Sean Couturier, 2nd 18:40 — PHI 12% → 29%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.18C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.17J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.15T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.14C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.12C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.11S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.10K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.10R. Hagg · Missed · xG 0.09O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.09J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.07J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.06N. Patrick · Missed · xG 0.06T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.05J. Braun · Goal · xG 0.04J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.03J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.03C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.03I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.03T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.03I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.03T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.03S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.03I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03W. Allison · On goal · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.03S. Couturier · Goal · xG 0.02N. Patrick · Missed · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02N. Patrick · Missed · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.02P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hagg · On goal · xG 0.01T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.01T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Voracek · Missed · xG 0.01T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.01P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.01N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.01P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.00
PHI3 G · 2.3 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsPHI
3.46 G
All situations
3 G2.3
1.94 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.32 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT54%46%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 2.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsPHI
31
Shots on goal
33
43%
Faceoffs
57%
2/3
Power play
0/1
9
Penalty minutes
13
17
Hits
24
11
Blocked shots
18
5
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD011+140.31110—23:07
8B. DumoulinD000010.01110—21:46
6J. MarinoD101-120.09110—21:00
59J. GuentzelC123+110.26100020:12
87S. CrosbyC213+140.541023819:14
4C. CeciD000+320.02120—18:32
28M. PetterssonD112010.15200—18:26
71E. MalkinC022+130.081003317:05
42K. KapanenR011+120.16000—15:05
16J. ZuckerL101+120.22100—14:56
77J. CarterC000010.191103814:39
17B. RustR011+230.29100—14:28
53T. BluegerC011-100.000008314:18
19J. McCannL011+120.02012—13:23
52M. FriedmanD101+120.96315—13:20
11F. GaudreauC011+200.000204012:56
12Z. Aston-ReeseL011-110.08100—12:45
7C. SceviourC000-200.00110010:48
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(W)33303.9092.25-0.7560:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).