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Penguins at Flyers
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
3
Philadelphia Flyers
▸6
FinalTV NBCSN, SN1·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 6-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Flyers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Michael Raffl's goal at 5:37 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals were close — PIT 1.9, PHI 2.1; shots on goal were PIT 34, PHI 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 21 of 27 (.778), 3.9 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Joel Farabee (1 G, 3 A), 2. Erik Gustafsson (2 A), 3. Kevin Hayes (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    J. Farabee1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    E. Gustafsson2 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    K. Hayes1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT11419111334
PHIPHI2111739627

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    M. Jankowski(1)
    B. Tanev (1), J. McCann (1)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:12
  2. PHI
    J. van Riemsdyk(1)PPG
    E. Gustafsson (1), J. Farabee (1)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    15:11
  3. PHI
    N. Patrick(1)PPG
    E. Gustafsson (2), J. Farabee (2)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    19:52

2nd period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby(1)PPG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    3:39
  2. PHI
    J. Farabee(1)
    K. Hayes (1)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +22 pts
    2-3
    18:54

3rd period

  1. PIT
    B. Tanev(1)
    M. Jankowski (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +25 pts
    3-3
    3:01
  2. PHI
    M. Raffl(1)
    S. Laughton (1), N. Aube-Kubel (1)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +27 pts
    3-4
    5:37
  3. PHI
    O. Lindblom(1)
    T. Konecny (1), S. Couturier (1)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    3-5
    12:14
  4. PHI
    K. Hayes(1)
    J. Farabee (3), C. Giroux (1)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +2 pts
    3-6
    12:34

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·PHI 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:44PHIScott Laughton · Holdingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 13:47PITCody Ceci · Slashingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min
  • 19:44PITMike Matheson · Cross checkingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min

2nd

  • 1:52PHIJakub Voracek · Interferencedrawn by Jared McCann2 min
  • 7:23PHINolan Patrick · Slashingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min

3rd

  • 0:39PITserved by J. McCann · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalPIT goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Michael Raffl, 3rd 5:37 — PHI 52% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.23J. Farabee · Goal · xG 0.22O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.20E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.17P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.16M. Raffl · Goal · xG 0.15K. Hayes · Goal · xG 0.14J. van Riemsdyk · Goal · xG 0.11K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.07C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.07J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.07O. Lindblom · Goal · xG 0.07N. Patrick · Goal · xG 0.07K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.04N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.04J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.04C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.02S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.02N. Patrick · Missed · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.02J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hagg · On goal · xG 0.01P. Myers · Missed · xG 0.01O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.01M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hagg · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.00T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.00T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI6 G · 2.1 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsPHI
1.93 G
All situations
6 G2.1
1.72 G
Even strength
4 G1.8
0.31 G
Power play
2 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT48%52%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.93 – 2.03

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsPHI
34
Shots on goal
27
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/3
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
31
11
Blocked shots
13
10
Giveaways
10
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD000-130.11110—24:45
8B. DumoulinD000-120.01230—21:26
6J. MarinoD000-110.04000—18:49
9E. RodriguesC000-130.12000018:48
87S. CrosbyC101-120.190105618:34
28M. PetterssonD000010.15110—18:17
59J. GuentzelC000-110.11000018:16
71E. MalkinC000-140.390004517:35
5M. MathesonD000-120.08022—17:15
17B. RustR000-120.0510010017:14
4C. CeciD000000.00112—16:29
16J. ZuckerL000-110.02210—15:49
19J. McCannL011+140.26000—13:22
7C. SceviourC000-110.0041010012:39
14M. JankowskiL112+110.101002212:29
13B. TanevL112+120.22700—12:19
53T. BluegerC000-120.041002912:14
18S. LaffertyC000-120.05200010:55
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(L)27216.7782.06-3.9459:51

Season series

PHI leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).