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Wild at Blues
NHL

Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
2
St. Louis Blues
▸3
Final/OTTV BSN, BSWI·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Minnesota Wild 3-2 in overtime, Ryan O'Reilly scoring at 4:58. The Wild scored first; the Blues answered. The Wild led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mike Hoffman's goal at 19:18 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 3% to 51%. Expected goals were close — MIN 2.2, STL 2.3; shots on goal were MIN 30, STL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.7 goals below expected; Ville Husso stopped 28 of 30 (.933). Three stars: 1. Mike Hoffman (2 G), 2. Ryan O'Reilly (1 G), 3. Vince Dunn (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    M. Hoffman2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    R. O'Reilly1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    V. Dunn3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MINMIN191801201230
STLSTL061711215330

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    N. Sturm(5)
    J. Cramarossa (1)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    18:25

2nd period

  1. STL
    M. Hoffman(10)PPG
    V. Dunn (10), T. Bozak (5)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    3:07
  2. MIN
    M. Dumba(6)PPG
    R. Suter (14), M. Johansson (4)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +21 pts
    2-1
    18:12

3rd period

  1. STL
    M. Hoffman(11)
    V. Dunn (11), D. Perron (27)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +49 pts
    2-2
    19:18

Overtime

  1. STL
    R. O'Reilly(17)
    B. Schenn (16), V. Dunn (12)
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    4:58

Penalties

MIN 8 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 12:34STLVince Dunn · Hookingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

2nd

  • 1:10MINJoel Eriksson Ek · High stickingdrawn by Torey Krug2 min
  • 5:26MINJared Spurgeon · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 12:02STLVince Dunn · Roughingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 12:02MINMats Zuccarello · Roughingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
  • 16:47STLMarco Scandella · Hookingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min

3rd

  • 9:02MINJoel Eriksson Ek · High stickingdrawn by Marco Scandella2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalMIN goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Mike Hoffman, 3rd 19:18 — STL 3% → 51%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.23J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.17M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.14J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.13V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.10D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.09B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.08T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.08R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.07J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.07B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.07J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.07D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.07B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.07J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.06J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.05M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.05M. Hoffman · Goal · xG 0.04D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.04S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.04I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.04M. Hoffman · Goal · xG 0.04J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.04M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.03M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.03T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.03D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.02T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.02J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.01B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01K. Clifford · Missed · xG 0.01T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.00M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.00J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.00
STL3 G · 2.3 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsSTL
2.22 G
All situations
3 G2.3
1.31 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.81 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN47%53%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.12 – 2.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsSTL
30
Shots on goal
30
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/2
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
13
23
Blocked shots
17
10
Giveaways
5
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
46J. SpurgeonD000000.00062—26:50
24M. DumbaD101-110.08120—23:51
20R. SuterD011+140.19010—23:44
25J. BrodinD000-110.07110—22:14
97K. KaprizovL000-150.52000—20:16
36M. ZuccarelloR000020.04002—18:58
38R. HartmanR000-100.001101418:02
14J. Eriksson EkC000030.374043817:18
13N. BoninoC000-100.000207317:00
49V. RaskC000040.230001716:16
90M. JohanssonL011-100.00010—16:06
18J. GreenwayL000-100.00220—13:18
21C. SoucyD000010.01100—13:06
28I. ColeD000010.07030—12:54
37K. RauC000+100.00330012:42
7N. SturmC101+140.442007312:36
11Z. PariseL000040.16010—11:38
56J. CramarossaC011+100.00100010:08
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(O)30273.9002.30-0.7064:58

Season series

STL leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).