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Wild at Blues
NHL

Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
3
St. Louis Blues
▸7
FinalTV BSN+, BSWI+·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Minnesota Wild 7-3. The Blues came back from three goals down. The Blues led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Perron's goal at 11:33 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 34% to 53%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were MIN 20, STL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 20 of 27 (.741), 4.3 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. David Perron (2 G, 1 A), 2. Brayden Schenn (2 G), 3. Mike Hoffman (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    D. Perron2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    B. Schenn2 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    M. Hoffman3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN3110603320
STLSTL0741139727

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    N. Sturm(11)
    N. Bonino (16), N. Bjugstad (11)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:23
  2. MIN
    R. Suter(3)
    M. Foligno (15)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    4:06
  3. MIN
    M. Foligno(11)
    I. Cole (7), J. Greenway (26)
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    16:04

2nd period

  1. STL
    Z. Sanford(10)
    K. Clifford (3), N. Mikkola (2)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +10 pts
    3-1
    5:16
  2. STL
    B. Schenn(15)PPG
    R. O'Reilly (30), M. Hoffman (17)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    3-2
    8:29
  3. STL
    D. Perron(18)
    I. Barbashev (7), J. Faulk (18)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +19 pts
    3-3
    11:33
  4. STL
    B. Schenn(16)PPG
    D. Perron (39), M. Hoffman (18)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    3-4
    14:03

3rd period

  1. STL
    D. Perron(19)PPG
    M. Hoffman (19), T. Krug (30)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    3-5
    5:50
  2. STL
    J. Kyrou(13)
    K. Kostin (1), M. Scandella (6)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +5 pts
    3-6
    6:33
  3. STL
    J. Kyrou(14)
    R. Bortuzzo (4), S. Santini (1)
    wristxG 0.04
    3-7
    15:29

Penalties

MIN 8 PIM·STL 4 PIM

1st

  • 12:30MINKyle Rau · High stickingdrawn by Jordan Binnington2 min
  • 16:43STLJustin Faulk · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min

2nd

  • 7:20MINIan Cole · Hookingdrawn by Klim Kostin2 min
  • 13:00MINRyan Hartman · Trippingdrawn by Sammy Blais2 min

3rd

  • 4:42MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Trippingdrawn by Zachary Sanford2 min
  • 11:18STLTyler Bozak · Slashingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalMIN goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: David Perron, 2nd 11:33 — STL 34% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.19K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.18K. Clifford · Missed · xG 0.18B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.16T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.15R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.14M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.13R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.13J. Kyrou · Goal · xG 0.13R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.12S. Blais · Missed · xG 0.11B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.10B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.10R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.08I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.07D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.06D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.05D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.05T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.05D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.05M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kostin · Missed · xG 0.04R. Bortuzzo · Missed · xG 0.04J. Kyrou · Goal · xG 0.04M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.03K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Sanford · Goal · xG 0.03K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.02D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.02S. Santini · On goal · xG 0.02S. Santini · On goal · xG 0.01S. Santini · On goal · xG 0.01R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.00S. Santini · On goal · xG 0.00J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.00R. Bortuzzo · Missed · xG 0.00
STL7 G · 2.7 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsSTL
2.23 G
All situations
7 G2.7
2.13 G
Even strength
4 G1.3
0.10 G
Power play
3 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 66 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN39%61%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.06 – 2.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsSTL
20
Shots on goal
27
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
3/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
24
Hits
20
8
Blocked shots
7
11
Giveaways
16
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28I. ColeD011+110.02122—21:25
21C. SoucyD000+110.00120—21:16
24M. DumbaD000+100.04310—20:52
20R. SuterD101+130.09010—20:33
77B. HuntD000-310.09010—17:53
17M. FolignoL112020.18100—17:48
14J. Eriksson EkC000010.141025317:26
13N. BoninoC011010.200003816:11
57D. MermisD000-300.00200—16:02
11Z. PariseL000-120.09100—15:32
18J. GreenwayL011010.13200—15:13
90M. JohanssonL000-130.4800010014:59
49V. RaskC000-100.000004014:29
38R. HartmanR000000.021025613:33
41L. JohnsonC000000.00400013:27
37K. RauC000000.00502012:55
27N. BjugstadC011010.001006712:52
7N. SturmC101030.72110012:14
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34K. Kahkonen(L)27207.7412.68-4.3260:00

Season series

STL leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).