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Blues at Wild
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
▸5
Minnesota Wild
4
Final/OTTV BSN+, BSMW·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Minnesota Wild 5-4 in overtime, Ryan O'Reilly scoring at 3:43. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan O'Reilly's goal at 3:43 of overtime, which took the Blues' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — STL 2.2, MIN 2.0; shots on goal were STL 21, MIN 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Ville Husso stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 2.0 goals below expected; Cam Talbot stopped 16 of 21 (.762), 2.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan O'Reilly (2 G), 2. Kevin Fiala (1 G, 2 A), 3. Torey Krug (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    R. O'Reilly2 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    K. Fiala1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    T. Krug2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
STLSTL17251712521
MINMIN061123903430

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    S. Blais(7)
    T. Krug (27), J. Schwartz (11)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:14

2nd period

  1. STL
    T. Bozak(4)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.26win prob +9 pts
    2-0
    7:34
  2. STL
    M. Scandella(3)
    J. Kyrou (18)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    3-0
    10:55
  3. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(17)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.12win prob +9 pts
    3-1
    17:01

3rd period

  1. MIN
    K. Fiala(18)
    V. Rask (11)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    2:21
  2. STL
    R. O'Reilly(21)PPG
    D. Perron (34), T. Krug (28)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    4-2
    6:16
  3. MIN
    V. Rask(8)
    K. Fiala (16), C. Soucy (16)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +10 pts
    4-3
    15:21
  4. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(23)
    K. Fiala (17), J. Spurgeon (14)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +49 pts
    4-4
    19:08

Overtime

  1. STL
    R. O'Reilly(22)
    J. Kyrou (19)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +51 pts
    5-4
    3:43

Penalties

STL 22 PIM·MIN 14 PIM

1st

  • 11:42MINRyan Hartman · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:32STLRobert Bortuzzo · Fightingdrawn by Jordan Greenway5 min
  • 14:32MINJordan Greenway · Fightingdrawn by Robert Bortuzzo5 min

2nd

  • 6:29MINMarcus Foligno · Fightingdrawn by Robert Bortuzzo5 min
  • 6:29STLRobert Bortuzzo · Instigatordrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min
  • 6:29STLRobert Bortuzzo · Fightingdrawn by Marcus Foligno5 min
  • 6:29STLRobert Bortuzzo · Misconductdrawn by Marcus Foligno10 min

3rd

  • 5:08MINMathew Dumba · High stickingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalSTL goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Ryan O'Reilly, OT 3:43 — STL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.30J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.20K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.16J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.13J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.13J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.12M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.11J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.09K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.06M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.06R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.05V. Rask · Goal · xG 0.05M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.05K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.04K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.04K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.03K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.03M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.03M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.02C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.02K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.02C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.01C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.00
MIN4 G · 2.0 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsMIN
2.25 G
All situations
4 G2.0
1.63 G
Even strength
4 G1.9
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL53%47%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 2.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsMIN
21
Shots on goal
30
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/2
Power play
0/1
22
Penalty minutes
14
16
Hits
21
19
Blocked shots
9
8
Giveaways
7
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD000+120.09330—30:44
55C. ParaykoD000-120.02030—24:47
47T. KrugD022+120.13120—23:35
6M. ScandellaD101010.05120—23:32
90R. O'ReillyC202+140.540204322:18
57D. PerronL011-110.05210—20:52
10B. SchennC000-120.38100018:54
17J. SchwartzL011-110.05010—16:31
21T. BozakC101-110.260005616:26
68M. HoffmanC000010.03000016:05
18R. ThomasC000010.030003814:44
9S. BlaisL101010.26210—14:24
25J. KyrouR022+100.07000—14:11
77N. MikkolaD000-210.05220—12:57
49I. BarbashevL000+100.102006011:57
12Z. SanfordL000-100.07110—11:50
13K. CliffordL000010.02100—10:20
41R. BortuzzoD000000.000122—04:53
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35V. Husso(W)30264.8672.04-1.9663:43

Season series

STL leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).