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Blues at Wild
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
3
Minnesota Wild
▸4
Final/OTTV ESPN+, BSN·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the St. Louis Blues 4-3 in overtime, Kevin Fiala scoring at 2:16. The Wild came back from two goals down. The Blues led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Fiala's goal at 2:16 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — STL 2.2, MIN 2.3; shots on goal were STL 31, MIN 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 34 of 38 (.895), 1.7 goals below expected; Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kevin Fiala (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jonas Brodin (1 G, 1 A), 3. David Perron (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Fiala1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Brodin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    D. Perron1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
STLSTL2111120701331
MINMIN0611221911438

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    J. Kyrou(12)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.30win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    17:00
  2. STL
    S. Blais(8)
    T. Bozak (10), R. Bortuzzo (3)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    18:49

2nd period

  1. MIN
    M. Zuccarello(11)
    K. Kaprizov (20), M. Dumba (13)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    6:53
  2. STL
    D. Perron(15)
    N. Mikkola (1), R. O'Reilly (26)
    wristxG 0.43win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    12:41

3rd period

  1. MIN
    N. Sturm(9)
    J. Brodin (13)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +11 pts
    3-2
    14:09
  2. MIN
    J. Brodin(8)
    K. Fiala (18), J. Spurgeon (15)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +46 pts
    3-3
    19:00

Overtime

  1. MIN
    K. Fiala(19)
    M. Zuccarello (20), V. Rask (12)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    2:16

Penalties

STL 2 PIM·MIN 2 PIM

1st

  • 19:07STLTyler Bozak · Hookingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min

2nd

  • 16:10MINIan Cole · Trippingdrawn by Sammy Blais2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalSTL goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Kevin Fiala, OT 2:16 — MIN 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.21M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.20J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.16K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.15Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.13J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.12K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.11K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.08N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.08J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.08J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.06R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.06N. Sturm · Goal · xG 0.06J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.06J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.06K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.05K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.05N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.05M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.05K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zuccarello · Goal · xG 0.03J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.03J. Brodin · Goal · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.03K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.03J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.03N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.03K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.02K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.02I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.02K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.01C. Soucy · Missed · xG 0.01M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.00I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN4 G · 2.3 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsMIN
2.23 G
All situations
4 G2.3
2.13 G
Even strength
4 G2.0
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL49%51%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.17 – 2.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsMIN
31
Shots on goal
38
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
23
Hits
19
7
Blocked shots
6
9
Giveaways
4
7
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD000-150.14610—27:23
6M. ScandellaD000-100.00120—23:48
90R. O'ReillyC011020.130005421:42
55C. ParaykoD000-220.04000—19:47
10B. SchennC000010.06200019:39
57D. PerronL101+160.78110—19:28
41R. BortuzzoD011+210.09110—17:05
77N. MikkolaD011+320.07100—16:28
17J. SchwartzL000+100.02010—16:06
21T. BozakC011+100.000123515:47
46J. WalmanD000-230.14100—15:42
12Z. SanfordL000-100.00200—14:15
9S. BlaisL101+120.13400—13:59
18R. ThomasC000-200.030006013:03
68M. HoffmanC000-110.07100013:03
25J. KyrouR101-230.42000—12:56
49I. BarbashevL000010.011004012:24
13K. CliffordL000020.05200—12:19
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(O)38344.8952.30-1.7061:50

Season series

STL leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).