Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets
Recap
written from the game dataThe Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 6-4. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Barclay Goodrow's goal at 5:41 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 73% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.1 to 2.5; shots on goal were TBL 30, CBJ 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 32 of 36 (.889), 1.5 goals below expected; Elvis Merzlikins stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Yanni Gourde (4 A), 2. Blake Coleman (1 G, 2 A), 3. Jack Roslovic (1 G, 2 A).
Three stars
- ★Y. Gourde4 A

- ★★B. Coleman1 G, 2 A

- ★★★J. Roslovic1 G, 2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
10 goals1st period
1-00:58
2-04:41
3-05:41
3-117:21
4-119:59
2nd period
5-14:54
5-217:08
6-218:56
3rd period
6-310:41
6-419:14
Penalties
1st
- 4:29
Nick Foligno · Trippingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min
- 9:03
Ondrej Palat · Hookingdrawn by Alexandre Texier2 min
2nd
- 18:56
served by J. Roslovic · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
3rd
- 3:48
Alexandre Texier · Slashingdrawn by Victor Hedman2 min
- 7:29
Cal Foote · Instigatordrawn by Stefan Matteau2 min
- 7:29
Cal Foote · Fightingdrawn by Stefan Matteau5 min
- 7:29
Cal Foote · Instigator misconduct10 min
- 7:29
Stefan Matteau · Fightingdrawn by Cal Foote5 min
- 7:43
Jack Roslovic · High stickingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Barclay Goodrow, 1st 5:41 — 73% → 85%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.16 G
- All situations
- 4 G2.5
- 2.95 G
- Even strength
- 4 G2.1
- 0.31 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.02 – 2.46
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 30
- Shots on goal
- 36
- 57%
- Faceoffs
- 43%
- 1/4
- Power play
- 0/2
- 19
- Penalty minutes
- 13
- 15
- Hits
- 23
- 6
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 7
- Giveaways
- 10
- 2
- Takeaways
- 10
Box score
every player line
Season series
TBL leads 5-3
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






