Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets
Recap
written from the game dataThe Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 3-2 in overtime, Brayden Point scoring at 1:56. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Lightning led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Point's goal at 1:56 of overtime, which took the Lightning's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.5 to 2.0; shots on goal were TBL 37, CBJ 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Joonas Korpisalo stopped 34 of 37 (.919), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brayden Point (1 G), 2. Oliver Bjorkstrand (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ryan McDonagh (2 A).
Three stars
- ★B. Point1 G

- ★★O. Bjorkstrand1 G, 1 A

- ★★★R. McDonagh2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-10:21
2nd period
1-116:33
2-117:56
3rd period
2-20:47
Overtime
3-21:56
Penalties
2nd
- 7:30
Alex Killorn · Trippingdrawn by Liam Foudy2 min
3rd
- 0:40
Jan Rutta · Hookingdrawn by Liam Foudy2 min
- 4:07
Alexandre Texier · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
- 6:52
Blake Coleman · Roughingdrawn by Dean Kukan2 min
- 10:35
Luke Schenn · Fightingdrawn by Nick Foligno5 min
- 10:35
Nick Foligno · Fightingdrawn by Luke Schenn5 min
- 14:09
Jan Rutta · Trippingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Brayden Point, OT 1:56 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.53 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.0
- 3.33 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.8
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.44 – 2.01
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 37
- Shots on goal
- 25
- 45%
- Faceoffs
- 55%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 1/4
- 13
- Penalty minutes
- 7
- 29
- Hits
- 19
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 9
- Giveaways
- 6
- 8
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






