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Lightning at Blue Jackets
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets

Final/OTTV NBCSN, FS-O·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 3-2 in overtime, Brayden Point scoring at 1:56. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Lightning led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Point's goal at 1:56 of overtime, which took the Lightning's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.5 to 2.0; shots on goal were TBL 37, CBJ 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Joonas Korpisalo stopped 34 of 37 (.919), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brayden Point (1 G), 2. Oliver Bjorkstrand (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ryan McDonagh (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    B. Point1 G
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    O. Bjorkstrand1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    R. McDonagh2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TBLTBL01021401112337
CBJCBJ110061702225

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    snapxG 0.18win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:21

2nd period

  1. TBL
    snapxG 0.21win prob +21 pts
    1-1
    16:33
  2. TBL
    snapxG 0.04win prob +23 pts
    2-1
    17:56

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    0:47

Overtime

  1. TBL
    snapxG 0.25win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    1:56

Penalties

TBL 13 PIM·CBJ 7 PIM

2nd

  • 7:30TBLAlex Killorn · Trippingdrawn by Liam Foudy2 min

3rd

  • 0:40TBLJan Rutta · Hookingdrawn by Liam Foudy2 min
  • 4:07CBJAlexandre Texier · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 6:52TBLBlake Coleman · Roughingdrawn by Dean Kukan2 min
  • 10:35TBLLuke Schenn · Fightingdrawn by Nick Foligno5 min
  • 10:35CBJNick Foligno · Fightingdrawn by Luke Schenn5 min
  • 14:09TBLJan Rutta · Trippingdrawn by Max Domi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalTBL goalFinal: CBJ 0%

Biggest swing: Brayden Point, OT 1:56 — TBL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.20O. Bjorkstrand · Goal · xG 0.18N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.16C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.15N. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.13L. Foudy · On goal · xG 0.11E. Bemstrom · On goal · xG 0.10N. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.09O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.09E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.08C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.07L. Foudy · On goal · xG 0.07O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.07O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.07L. Foudy · On goal · xG 0.06O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.05O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.05M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.04N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.03M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.02C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Texier · Missed · xG 0.01D. Kukan · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.01D. Savard · Missed · xG 0.01M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.01D. Savard · Missed · xG 0.01M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.01L. Foudy · On goal · xG 0.01B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.01L. Foudy · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.00S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.00E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.00R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ2 G · 2.0 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsCBJ
3.53 G
All situations
2 G2.0
3.33 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL74%26%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.44 – 2.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsCBJ
37
Shots on goal
25
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/1
Power play
1/4
13
Penalty minutes
7
29
Hits
19
12
Blocked shots
13
9
Giveaways
6
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD011020.21320—26:56
27R. McDonaghD022+210.03120—24:56
98M. SergachevD000+100.00410—24:53
81E. CernakD000+120.06410—21:32
91S. StamkosC011+130.371007520:42
21B. PointC101+130.390102519:00
71A. CirelliC011+120.213105018:55
18O. PalatL000020.55210—18:31
17A. KillornL000050.54312—16:19
19B. GoodrowC000030.160105016:03
37Y. GourdeC011000.000001315:55
9T. JohnsonC000040.182001415:45
20B. ColemanL101010.27202—13:34
44J. RuttaD000-130.06104—13:21
14P. MaroonL000+120.19100—09:34
2L. SchennD000010.14115—08:27
67M. StephensC000010.081008007:52
7M. JosephR101+120.0700010007:28
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)25232.9202.01+0.0161:54

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).