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Blue Jackets at Lightning
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Tampa Bay Lightning

FinalTV BSOH, BSSUN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 3-1. The Blue Jackets scored first; the Lightning answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ondrej Palat's goal at 8:14 of the third period, which took the Lightning's chances from 52% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.7 to 1.1; shots on goal were CBJ 25, TBL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 25 of 27 (.926); Curtis McElhinney stopped 24 of 25 (.960). Three stars: 1. Curtis McElhinney (24 saves, .960), 2. Ondrej Palat (1 G), 3. Blake Coleman (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    C. McElhinney24 saves, .960
  2. ★★
    TBL
    O. Palat1 G
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    B. Coleman2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ1609010125
TBLTBL0518215328

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    S. Jones(5)PPG
    slapxG 0.04win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    9:36

2nd period

  1. TBL
    snapxG 0.07win prob +21 pts
    1-1
    14:51

3rd period

  1. TBL
    wristxG 0.12win prob +29 pts
    1-2
    8:14
  2. TBL
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.39win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    19:35

Penalties

CBJ 6 PIM·TBL 2 PIM

1st

  • 8:57TBLOndrej Palat · Cross checkingdrawn by Mikko Lehtonen2 min

2nd

  • 2:48CBJJosh Dunne · Holdingdrawn by Erik Cernak2 min
  • 7:55CBJKole Sherwood · Roughingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min

3rd

  • 9:56CBJJosh Dunne · Hookingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalCBJ goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Ondrej Palat, 3rd 8:14 — TBL 52% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.76B. Coleman · Goal · xG 0.39B. Point · On goal · xG 0.14O. Palat · Goal · xG 0.12B. Point · On goal · xG 0.12A. Barré-Boulet · On goal · xG 0.11A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.11Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.09B. Point · On goal · xG 0.09B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.08A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.07B. Coleman · Goal · xG 0.07A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.07A. Barré-Boulet · On goal · xG 0.06R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.05V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.04Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.04A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.04R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.03V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.03R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.02V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.01E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.01
TBL3 G · 2.7 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsTBL
1.11 G
All situations
2 G2.7
0.80 G
Even strength
2 G1.1
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 64 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ39%61%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.11 – 1.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsTBL
25
Shots on goal
28
35%
Faceoffs
65%
1/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
25
Hits
26
15
Blocked shots
4
2
Giveaways
1
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD101020.12220—23:35
15M. Del ZottoD000-210.01110—21:24
43M. LehtonenD000-120.02000—19:50
13C. AtkinsonR000-220.04020—19:32
28O. BjorkstrandR011-110.07010—19:16
29P. LaineL011-320.11100—18:13
46D. KukanD000030.05420—18:11
7G. BayreutherD000-140.07310—17:51
44V. GavrikovD000-110.02110—17:31
50E. RobinsonL000-100.10000—16:57
96J. RoslovicC000-210.141103916:47
42A. TexierL000-110.174002116:09
16M. DomiC000000.000004415:48
24N. GerbeC000-140.1820010014:55
23S. MatteauC000010.01220012:58
88K. SherwoodR000000.00302—10:06
49R. MacInnisC000000.00000008:56
21J. DunneC000000.001242508:46
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90E. Merzlikins(L)27252.9261.60-0.4057:15

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).