Columbus Blue Jackets at Tampa Bay Lightning
Recap
written from the game dataThe Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 3-1. The Blue Jackets scored first; the Lightning answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ondrej Palat's goal at 8:14 of the third period, which took the Lightning's chances from 52% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.7 to 1.1; shots on goal were CBJ 25, TBL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 25 of 27 (.926); Curtis McElhinney stopped 24 of 25 (.960). Three stars: 1. Curtis McElhinney (24 saves, .960), 2. Ondrej Palat (1 G), 3. Blake Coleman (2 G).
Three stars
- ★C. McElhinney24 saves, .960

- ★★O. Palat1 G

- ★★★B. Coleman2 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals1st period
1-09:36
2nd period
1-114:51
3rd period
1-28:14
1-319:35
Penalties
1st
- 8:57
Ondrej Palat · Cross checkingdrawn by Mikko Lehtonen2 min
2nd
- 2:48
Josh Dunne · Holdingdrawn by Erik Cernak2 min
- 7:55
Kole Sherwood · Roughingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
3rd
- 9:56
Josh Dunne · Hookingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Ondrej Palat, 3rd 8:14 — 52% → 81%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.11 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.7
- 0.80 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.1
- 0.31 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.5
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 64 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.11 – 1.59
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 25
- Shots on goal
- 28
- 35%
- Faceoffs
- 65%
- 1/1
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 25
- Hits
- 26
- 15
- Blocked shots
- 4
- 2
- Giveaways
- 1
- 2
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
TBL leads 5-3
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
