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Lightning at Blue Jackets
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
2
Columbus Blue Jackets
▸5
FinalTV ESPN+, NHLN·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 5-2. The Lightning scored first; the Blue Jackets answered. The Blue Jackets led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Werenski's goal at 6:34 of the third period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 80% to 94%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 3.4 to 1.8; shots on goal were TBL 32, CBJ 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.1 goals below expected; Elvis Merzlikins stopped 30 of 32 (.938). Three stars: 1. Elvis Merzlikins (30 saves, .938), 2. Zach Werenski (1 G), 3. Eric Robinson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    E. Merzlikins30 saves, .938
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    Z. Werenski1 G
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    E. Robinson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL21401008232
CBJCBJ3908211528

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    V. Hedman(1)
    M. Stephens (1), A. Volkov (1)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:10
  2. CBJ
    N. Foligno(3)
    C. Atkinson (2), M. Del Zotto (4)
    wristxG 0.50win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    4:27
  3. CBJ
    M. Grigorenko(1)
    K. Stenlund (1), N. Gerbe (1)
    tip-inxG 0.36win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    10:03
  4. CBJ
    V. Gavrikov(1)
    L. Foudy (2), E. Robinson (1)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    19:01
  5. TBL
    O. Palat(3)PPG
    B. Point (3), V. Hedman (4)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +11 pts
    2-3
    19:46

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    Z. Werenski(1)
    A. Texier (2), B. Jenner (2)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    6:34
  2. CBJ
    E. Robinson(1)EN
    R. Nash (1), S. Jones (1)
    wristxG 0.47
    2-5
    18:12

Penalties

TBL 4 PIM·CBJ 6 PIM

1st

  • 19:16CBJNathan Gerbe · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Johnson2 min

2nd

  • 7:04TBLJan Rutta · Hookingdrawn by Mikhail Grigorenko2 min
  • 11:52CBJMikhail Grigorenko · Hookingdrawn by Mitchell Stephens2 min
  • 13:09TBLMikhail Sergachev · Slashingdrawn by Cam Atkinson2 min

3rd

  • 15:55CBJSeth Jones · High stickingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalTBL goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Zach Werenski, 3rd 6:34 — CBJ 80% → 94%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.50E. Robinson · Goal · xG 0.47M. Grigorenko · Goal · xG 0.36C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.30C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.15Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.11K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.10O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.10L. Foudy · On goal · xG 0.10V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.09A. Texier · Missed · xG 0.09O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.08R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.08L. Foudy · On goal · xG 0.08E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.08V. Gavrikov · Goal · xG 0.06S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.06S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.05L. Foudy · Missed · xG 0.05L. Foudy · On goal · xG 0.05E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Werenski · Goal · xG 0.05O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.04N. Gerbe · Missed · xG 0.03A. Texier · Missed · xG 0.03S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.03M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.03B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.02L. Foudy · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02D. Kukan · Missed · xG 0.01M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.01A. Texier · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.01B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.01D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.01M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.01K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.01N. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.01N. Gerbe · On goal · xG 0.01D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ5 G · 3.4 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsCBJ
1.82 G
All situations
4 G3.4
1.41 G
Even strength
4 G2.4
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL31%69%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.84 – 2.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsCBJ
32
Shots on goal
28
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
24
8
Blocked shots
9
4
Giveaways
4
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27R. McDonaghD000060.15300—28:51
77V. HedmanD112-340.15110—26:47
98M. SergachevD000-340.15102—24:06
91S. StamkosC000-220.240005421:44
21B. PointC011-240.291004020:24
18O. PalatL101-230.32310—18:38
44J. RuttaD000-220.02132—18:12
17A. KillornL000-210.36100—17:57
71A. CirelliC000-100.051107017:41
37Y. GourdeC000000.002006015:41
52C. FooteD000030.06110—15:27
9T. JohnsonC000-110.022003615:09
19B. GoodrowC000000.00100014:38
7M. JosephR000010.03300—12:45
14P. MaroonL000-100.00200—10:04
92A. VolkovR011-100.00000—08:55
67M. StephensC011-110.011106705:45
81E. CernakD000000.00000—03:24
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(L)27234.8522.90-1.1059:52

Season series

TBL leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).