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Canadiens at Senators
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
▸4
Ottawa Senators
1
FinalTV TSN2, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Ottawa Senators 4-1. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Paul Byron's goal at 0:48 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 59% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.4 to 1.3; shots on goal were MTL 38, OTT 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 22 of 23 (.957); Filip Gustavsson stopped 34 of 38 (.895), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Phillip Danault (1 G, 1 A), 2. Brendan Gallagher (1 G, 1 A), 3. Tomas Tatar (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    P. Danault1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    B. Gallagher1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    T. Tatar2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL114114210438
OTTOTT0110616123

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    P. Danault(3)
    B. Gallagher (9), T. Tatar (15)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    10:48

2nd period

  1. MTL
    P. Byron(3)SHG
    J. Evans (4), A. Lehkonen (4)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +19 pts
    2-0
    0:48

3rd period

  1. MTL
    C. Perry(7)
    J. Evans (5), V. Mete (2)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +7 pts
    3-0
    4:43
  2. MTL
    B. Gallagher(14)
    P. Danault (16), T. Tatar (16)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +1 pts
    4-0
    10:04
  3. OTT
    C. Brown(8)PPG
    J. Norris (11), M. Reilly (15)
    wristxG 0.08
    4-1
    18:13

Penalties

MTL 4 PIM·OTT 6 PIM

1st

  • 19:13MTLJeff Petry · Trippingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min

2nd

  • 13:50OTTBraydon Coburn · Trippingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 16:58OTTMike Reilly · Hookingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min

3rd

  • 15:09OTTNick Paul · Roughingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
  • 18:06MTLArtturi Lehkonen · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Zaitsev2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalMTL goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Paul Byron, 2nd 0:48 — MTL 59% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.14N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.13T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.12D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.10R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.10C. Bishop · On goal · xG 0.10C. Bishop · Missed · xG 0.09C. Brown · Goal · xG 0.08C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.07C. White · On goal · xG 0.06R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.05C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.04N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03C. Bishop · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.02A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01C. White · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.01M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.00B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT1 G · 1.3 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsOTT
3.44 G
All situations
1 G1.3
2.53 G
Even strength
0 G1.2
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.41 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL84%16%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.40 – 1.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsOTT
38
Shots on goal
23
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
30
Hits
35
8
Blocked shots
6
6
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26J. PetryD000020.02202—22:19
6S. WeberD000+220.09410—21:32
44J. EdmundsonD000+220.04510—20:49
77B. KulakD000040.11010—19:32
17J. AndersonR000010.3441010019:02
14N. SuzukiC000050.610102018:22
92J. DrouinL000030.051005017:28
15J. KotkaniemiC000020.131005616:50
24P. DanaultC112+220.421006016:02
11B. GallagherR112+230.27200—15:55
27A. RomanovD000+220.04210—15:33
90T. TatarL022+310.12000—15:05
94C. PerryR101+120.40210—14:34
53V. MeteD011+200.03000—14:20
62A. LehkonenL011000.00212—13:56
41P. ByronL101+110.17100—13:08
71J. EvansC022+240.412004511:54
67M. FrolikR000020.18100—11:32
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(W)23221.9571.32+0.3260:00

Season series

OTT leads 6-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).