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Senators at Canadiens
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
▸3
Montréal Canadiens
2
FinalTV TSN2, TSN5·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Montréal Canadiens 3-2. The Canadiens scored first; the Senators answered. The Senators led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor Brown's goal at 8:12 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.2 to 1.1; shots on goal were OTT 22, MTL 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Carey Price stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tim Stützle (1 G, 2 A), 2. Matt Murray (36 saves, .947), 3. Phillip Danault (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    T. Stützle1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    M. Murray36 saves, .947
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    P. Danault2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT291805322
MTLMTL11208118238

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    B. Gallagher(5)
    T. Tatar (4), P. Danault (4)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    10:31
  2. OTT
    T. Chabot(3)
    C. Tierney (2), T. Stützle (1)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    19:21
  3. OTT
    T. Stützle(4)PPG
    D. Batherson (5), T. Chabot (4)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    2-1
    19:39

2nd period

  1. OTT
    C. Brown(1)
    E. Brannstrom (1), T. Stützle (2)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    8:12

3rd period

  1. MTL
    J. Anderson(7)SHG
    P. Danault (5)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +1 pts
    3-2
    18:31

Penalties

OTT 15 PIM·MTL 15 PIM

1st

  • 19:32MTLJeff Petry · Holdingdrawn by Connor Brown2 min

2nd

  • 14:18OTTNick Paul · Roughingdrawn by Jake Evans2 min
  • 14:18OTTNick Paul · Roughingdrawn by Alexander Romanov2 min
  • 14:18MTLJake Evans · Roughingdrawn by Nick Paul2 min
  • 15:58OTTConnor Brown · Closing hand on puck2 min

3rd

  • 7:09MTLCorey Perry · Fightingdrawn by Erik Gudbranson5 min
  • 7:09OTTErik Gudbranson · Fightingdrawn by Corey Perry5 min
  • 10:01OTTArtem Zub · Trippingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 12:22OTTBrady Tkachuk · Trippingdrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min
  • 16:25MTLBen Chiarot · High sticking double minordrawn by Brady Tkachuk4 min
  • 19:35MTLTomas Tatar · Boardingdrawn by Erik Gudbranson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalOTT goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Connor Brown, 2nd 8:12 — OTT 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Gallagher · Goal · xG 0.23T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.14B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.14J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.12A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.12B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.11T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.11P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.11J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.11J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.10C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.10N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.10J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.09J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.09T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.09J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.08B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.07T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.07J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.07J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.07A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.07P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.07J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.06J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.05P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.05B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.05T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.05T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.05N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.04T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.04A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.04A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.03T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.03J. Anderson · Goal · xG 0.03A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.03S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.03B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.02J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.01A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.01C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.01S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.01T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.01S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL2 G · 3.2 xG · 59 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsMTL
1.13 G
All situations
2 G3.2
1.02 G
Even strength
1 G2.5
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT15%85%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.10 – 3.17

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsMTL
22
Shots on goal
38
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/4
Power play
0/4
15
Penalty minutes
15
33
Hits
42
13
Blocked shots
12
16
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD112-130.09610—26:05
22N. ZaitsevD000-110.04110—23:51
44E. GudbransonD000000.00225—19:31
2A. ZubD000000.00002—17:55
28C. BrownR101+230.110025017:47
7B. TkachukL000-120.1870210016:35
26E. BrannstromD011+200.00010—16:22
19D. BathersonR011030.17310—15:54
5M. ReillyD000010.02010—15:44
71C. TierneyC011+200.000006015:20
36C. WhiteC000-110.282104615:13
18T. StützleC123+110.08210014:51
15D. StepanC000-120.013303614:46
9J. NorrisC000000.002006714:25
63E. DadonovL000-200.01010—14:01
13N. PaulL000020.001048013:17
16A. WatsonL000010.0430010011:05
17A. GalchenyukC000020.07100007:59
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(W)38362.9473.18+1.1860:00

Season series

OTT leads 6-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).