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Senators at Canadiens
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
▸6
Montréal Canadiens
3
FinalTV CBC, SN·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Montréal Canadiens 6-3. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evgenii Dadonov's goal at 7:49 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.1 to 2.8; shots on goal were OTT 32, MTL 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Anton Forsberg stopped 35 of 38 (.921); Carey Price stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Evgenii Dadonov (2 G), 2. Josh Anderson (2 G), 3. Artem Anisimov (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    E. Dadonov2 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    J. Anderson2 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    A. Anisimov3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT21329210632
MTLMTL114212012338

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(12)PPG
    D. Batherson (11), T. Chabot (18)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +4 pts
    1-0
    0:42
  2. MTL
    T. Toffoli(19)PPG
    N. Suzuki (14), S. Weber (11)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +10 pts
    1-1
    5:31
  3. OTT
    C. Brown(9)SHG
    N. Paul (10), B. Coburn (2)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    12:07

2nd period

  1. MTL
    J. Anderson(12)
    J. Kotkaniemi (12), V. Mete (3)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    6:58
  2. OTT
    E. Dadonov(10)
    T. Chabot (19), A. Anisimov (3)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +18 pts
    3-2
    7:49
  3. OTT
    E. Dadonov(11)
    A. Anisimov (4), T. Stützle (14)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +18 pts
    4-2
    16:02
  4. MTL
    J. Anderson(13)
    N. Suzuki (15), S. Weber (12)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    4-3
    18:48

3rd period

  1. OTT
    A. Formenton(2)
    A. Anisimov (5)
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +18 pts
    5-3
    2:55
  2. OTT
    D. Batherson(12)EN
    M. Reilly (16)
    wristxG 0.60win prob +1 pts
    6-3
    17:05

Penalties

OTT 15 PIM·MTL 9 PIM

1st

  • 0:28MTLBrendan Gallagher · High sticking double minordrawn by Josh Norris4 min
  • 3:47OTTBraydon Coburn · High stickingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 8:57OTTArtem Zub · Hookingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
  • 11:55OTTNikita Zaitsev · Trippingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
  • 16:34OTTBrady Tkachuk · Fightingdrawn by Shea Weber5 min
  • 16:34MTLShea Weber · Fightingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk5 min

2nd

  • 19:06OTTNick Paul · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 14:41OTTNikita Zaitsev · Trippingdrawn by Jesperi Kotkaniemi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalOTT goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Evgenii Dadonov, 2nd 7:49 — OTT 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.19P. Byron · Missed · xG 0.19T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.17B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.16P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.14B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.12J. Anderson · Goal · xG 0.12T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.12C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.11J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.10T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.09J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.09N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.08T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.07B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.07N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.06J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.05S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.04T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.04J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.04J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.04S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.04T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.04J. Anderson · Goal · xG 0.04J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.03J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.03A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.03S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.02V. Mete · On goal · xG 0.02A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.01S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.00J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.00N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL3 G · 2.8 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsMTL
3.15 G
All situations
3 G2.8
1.93 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.21 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.41 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT46%54%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.47 – 2.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsMTL
32
Shots on goal
38
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/2
Power play
1/5
15
Penalty minutes
9
27
Hits
33
16
Blocked shots
11
13
Giveaways
10
9
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD022+110.04210—23:54
22N. ZaitsevD000+120.02014—22:40
5M. ReillyD011+100.01220—19:33
44E. GudbransonD000+210.01200—19:30
55B. CoburnD011+220.02102—17:44
28C. BrownR101020.19020—17:41
13N. PaulL011+130.450122917:18
9J. NorrisC000-120.222106216:08
71C. TierneyC000020.001102515:28
19D. BathersonR112+120.604005015:19
2A. ZubD000-110.06212—15:00
18T. StützleC011+110.02110014:35
7B. TkachukL101-120.26405—14:14
59A. FormentonL101+310.10300—13:25
63E. DadonovL202+320.23030—13:07
51A. AnisimovC033+340.590102512:20
62C. BishopC000-140.191105012:07
10R. DzingelC000-100.07200010:13
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Forsberg(W)38353.9212.76-0.2460:00

Season series

OTT leads 6-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).