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Senators at Canadiens
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV TSN2, TSN5·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Ottawa Senators 3-1. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Artem Zub's goal at 18:29 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 10% to 25%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 2.7 to 1.2; shots on goal were OTT 27, MTL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Joey Daccord stopped 30 of 32 (.938); Carey Price stopped 26 of 27 (.963). Three stars: 1. Jesperi Kotkaniemi (1 A), 2. Brendan Gallagher (1 G, 1 A), 3. Drake Batherson (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    J. Kotkaniemi1 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    B. Gallagher1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    D. Batherson1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT0811405127
MTLMTL01321515333

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. MTL
    C. Perry (4), J. Petry (13)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:26
  2. MTL
    J. Petry(7)PPG
    slapxG 0.02win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    11:30
  3. OTT
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    18:29

3rd period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.84win prob +2 pts
    1-3
    19:39

Penalties

OTT 6 PIM·MTL 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:27MTLJoel Armia · High sticking double minordrawn by Erik Brannstrom4 min

2nd

  • 9:01OTTErik Brannstrom · High stickingdrawn by Jonathan Drouin2 min
  • 9:26OTTErik Gudbranson · High sticking double minordrawn by Brendan Gallagher4 min
  • 11:40MTLJake Evans · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalOTT goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Artem Zub, 2nd 18:29 — OTT 10% → 25%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.84B. Gallagher · Goal · xG 0.19A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.13P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.12A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.12N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.11B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.11J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.10B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.09J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.06T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.06J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.05J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.05S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.05T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.05T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.04J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.04B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.03C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.03J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.03T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.03J. Petry · Goal · xG 0.02S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.02P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.01S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.01N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.01J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.01J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL3 G · 2.7 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsMTL
1.21 G
All situations
2 G2.7
0.71 G
Even strength
0 G1.2
0.50 G
Power play
2 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT36%64%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.20 – 1.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsMTL
27
Shots on goal
33
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/3
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
37
21
Blocked shots
9
16
Giveaways
18
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD000-120.05030—26:35
22N. ZaitsevD000030.04010—23:22
7B. TkachukL000-160.203103320:38
18T. StützleC000020.101005019:19
19D. BathersonR011010.13310—18:23
63E. DadonovL000-130.20110—17:37
9J. NorrisC000+110.030106017:36
44E. GudbransonD000000.00314—16:38
28C. BrownR000020.03010—16:15
5M. ReillyD011+100.03110—16:13
36C. WhiteC000-100.000002516:00
2A. ZubD101+120.07110—15:21
26E. BrannstromD000020.03032—14:55
71C. TierneyC000000.020306914:44
13N. PaulL000010.080006014:34
16A. WatsonL000000.10230—11:59
51A. AnisimovC000020.080008011:41
38M. HaleyL000000.00100—06:23
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Daccord(L)32302.9381.84-0.1659:18

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).