Ottawa Senators at Montréal Canadiens
Recap
written from the game dataThe Montréal Canadiens beat the Ottawa Senators 3-1. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Artem Zub's goal at 18:29 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 10% to 25%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 2.7 to 1.2; shots on goal were OTT 27, MTL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Joey Daccord stopped 30 of 32 (.938); Carey Price stopped 26 of 27 (.963). Three stars: 1. Jesperi Kotkaniemi (1 A), 2. Brendan Gallagher (1 G, 1 A), 3. Drake Batherson (1 A).
Three stars
- ★J. Kotkaniemi1 A

- ★★B. Gallagher1 G, 1 A

- ★★★D. Batherson1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals2nd period
0-19:26
0-211:30
1-218:29
3rd period
1-319:39
Penalties
1st
- 4:27
Joel Armia · High sticking double minordrawn by Erik Brannstrom4 min
2nd
- 9:01
Erik Brannstrom · High stickingdrawn by Jonathan Drouin2 min
- 9:26
Erik Gudbranson · High sticking double minordrawn by Brendan Gallagher4 min
- 11:40
Jake Evans · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Artem Zub, 2nd 18:29 — 10% → 25%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.21 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.7
- 0.71 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.2
- 0.50 G
- Power play
- 2 G0.5
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.20 – 1.84
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 33
- 56%
- Faceoffs
- 44%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 2/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 16
- Hits
- 37
- 21
- Blocked shots
- 9
- 16
- Giveaways
- 18
- 6
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
OTT leads 6-4
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
