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Canadiens at Flames
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
1
Calgary Flames
▸2
FinalTV SNW, TSN2·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Montréal Canadiens 2-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Leivo's goal at 13:55 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 72% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were MTL 18, CGY 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Jacob Markstrom stopped 17 of 18 (.944), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Derek Ryan (2 A), 2. Josh Leivo (2 G), 3. Noah Hanifin.

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    D. Ryan2 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    J. Leivo2 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    N. Hanifin

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL060517118
CGYCGY0621409229

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. CGY
    J. Leivo(2)
    D. Ryan (3), S. Bennett (2)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    1:52
  2. CGY
    J. Leivo(3)
    D. Ryan (4), S. Bennett (3)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    13:55

3rd period

  1. MTL
    C. Perry(1)
    S. Weber (1)
    tip-inxG 0.17win prob +8 pts
    1-2
    10:15

Penalties

MTL 11 PIM·CGY 9 PIM

1st

  • 17:16CGYNikita Nesterov · High stickingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min
  • 19:13MTLserved by C. Perry · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 16:20MTLPhillip Danault · Holdingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min

3rd

  • 7:40CGYMilan Lucic · Fightingdrawn by Josh Anderson5 min
  • 7:40MTLJosh Anderson · Fightingdrawn by Milan Lucic5 min
  • 13:54CGYAndrew Mangiapane · High stickingdrawn by Brett Kulak2 min
  • 17:24MTLPaul Byron · Slashingdrawn by Dillon Dube2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalMTL goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Josh Leivo, 2nd 13:55 — CGY 72% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.76M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.24M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.16B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.15M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.13J. Leivo · Goal · xG 0.13M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.12J. Leivo · Goal · xG 0.09D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.09J. Leivo · Missed · xG 0.09D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.07D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.07E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.06M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.06M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.06S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.06D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.06S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.06D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.06D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.05N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.05A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.05J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.05R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.04A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.04N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.03S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.03D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.02D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.02C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.02B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.01D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.01C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.01S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY2 G · 3.2 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsCGY
1.81 G
All situations
2 G3.2
1.41 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL38%62%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.83 – 2.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsCGY
18
Shots on goal
29
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
9
24
Hits
22
10
Blocked shots
10
9
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
17

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26J. PetryD000-100.06120—24:45
6S. WeberD011010.12000—23:07
44J. EdmundsonD000020.01110—20:59
73T. ToffoliC000+110.18000017:39
27A. RomanovD000-100.00600—17:10
14N. SuzukiC000000.000104416:56
24P. DanaultC000020.151024816:51
92J. DrouinL000-200.00110—16:36
40J. ArmiaR000010.1640010015:20
15J. KotkaniemiC000-100.071105615:07
77B. KulakD000000.00100—15:02
17J. AndersonR000-110.06215—14:58
53V. MeteD000010.04200—14:52
41P. ByronL000020.1102210013:39
90T. TatarL000030.37300—13:26
11B. GallagherR000-110.140006713:22
94C. PerryR101+120.33100—13:19
71J. EvansC000010.040103311:29
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(L)29272.9312.47+0.4759:23

Season series

CGY leads 6-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).