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Canadiens at Flames
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
2
Calgary Flames
▸5
FinalTV SN, TVAS·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Montréal Canadiens 5-2. The Canadiens scored first; the Flames answered. The Flames led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Milan Lucic's goal at 2:14 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 2.9 to 2.5; shots on goal were MTL 32, CGY 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Cayden Primeau stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.9 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Johnny Gaudreau (2 G), 2. Chris Tanev (1 A), 3. Derek Ryan (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau2 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    C. Tanev1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    D. Ryan2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL1141909232
CGYCGY11129214534

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    N. Suzuki(9)
    J. Evans (6), E. Gustafsson (10)
    backhandxG 0.34win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    11:32
  2. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(16)
    M. Tkachuk (21), C. Tanev (7)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    19:29

2nd period

  1. CGY
    M. Lucic(9)
    D. Ryan (6)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    2:14
  2. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(17)
    A. Mangiapane (12)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    5:31
  3. MTL
    T. Toffoli(24)PPG
    C. Perry (9), E. Gustafsson (11)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    18:03

3rd period

  1. CGY
    B. Ritchie(3)
    D. Ryan (7), J. Nordstrom (3)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    4:41
  2. CGY
    R. Andersson(4)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.47
    2-5
    17:31

Penalties

MTL 6 PIM·CGY 10 PIM

1st

  • 8:43MTLArtturi Lehkonen · Holdingdrawn by Juuso Välimäki2 min

2nd

  • 7:12CGYDillon Dube · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Cayden Primeau2 min
  • 13:31CGYAndrew Mangiapane · Trippingdrawn by Joel Edmundson2 min
  • 16:08CGYMikael Backlund · Roughingdrawn by Joel Edmundson2 min

3rd

  • 2:20MTLBen Chiarot · Holding the stickdrawn by Buddy Robinson2 min
  • 8:24CGYElias Lindholm · Roughingdrawn by Alexander Romanov2 min
  • 8:24MTLAlexander Romanov · Roughingdrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min
  • 18:51CGYJuuso Välimäki · High stickingdrawn by Joel Edmundson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalMTL goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Milan Lucic, 2nd 2:14 — CGY 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Andersson · Goal · xG 0.46B. Ritchie · Goal · xG 0.21J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.16S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.15M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.14M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.12S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.12S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.11J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.10E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.09J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.08D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.06E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.06J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.05M. Lucic · Goal · xG 0.05A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.05J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.04M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.04M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.04M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.03J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.03R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.03R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.03M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.03R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.02C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.02C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.01S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Nordstrom · On goal · xG 0.00S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.00J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY5 G · 2.5 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsCGY
2.92 G
All situations
4 G2.5
2.01 G
Even strength
4 G1.4
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL65%35%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.89 – 2.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsCGY
32
Shots on goal
34
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/4
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
10
22
Hits
16
4
Blocked shots
15
7
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6S. WeberD000-120.22020—23:43
26J. PetryD000-310.07400—21:19
17J. AndersonR000-200.30300—21:01
8B. ChiarotD000-130.12102—19:22
14N. SuzukiC101-140.650003618:23
73T. ToffoliC101-230.28000018:23
24P. DanaultC000-110.054006718:02
44J. EdmundsonD000010.03010—16:39
94C. PerryR011-400.06010—16:16
15J. KotkaniemiC000-220.060004415:56
62A. LehkonenL000020.18202—15:42
40J. ArmiaR000-110.05500—15:37
21E. StaalC000030.380004014:54
27A. RomanovD000-120.09002—13:58
32E. GustafssonD022+150.17000—12:13
71J. EvansC011+120.212007111:40
90T. TatarL000-100.00100—11:39
28J. MerrillD000-300.00000—09:43
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Primeau(L)33294.8792.06-1.9459:17

Season series

CGY leads 6-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).