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Montréal Canadiens at Calgary Flames

FinalTV SN, TVAS·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Montréal Canadiens 3-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Monahan's goal at 5:38 of the first period, which took the Flames' chances from 54% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.2 to 1.7; shots on goal were MTL 25, CGY 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Carey Price stopped 33 of 36 (.917); Jacob Markstrom stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sean Monahan (2 G), 2. Matthew Tkachuk (1 A), 3. Dillon Dube.

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    S. Monahan2 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Tkachuk1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    D. Dube

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL0611009125
CGYCGY21611208336

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:38
  2. CGY
    backhandxG 0.34win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    13:56

2nd period

  1. CGY
    snapxG 0.19win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    7:20
  2. MTL
    snapxG 0.15win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    14:20

Penalties

MTL 6 PIM·CGY 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:19MTLJonathan Drouin · Hookingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 13:08MTLBrendan Gallagher · Slashingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min

2nd

  • 8:33CGYJuuso Välimäki · Interferencedrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 13:26CGYRasmus Andersson · Interferencedrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
  • 13:44MTLBrendan Gallagher · Trippingdrawn by Derek Ryan2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalMTL goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Sean Monahan, 1st 5:38 — CGY 54% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.35S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.33M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.19M. Backlund · Goal · xG 0.19D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.17E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.14S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.13S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.11S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.10S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.09E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.08D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.08J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.08J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.08E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.08A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.07M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.07S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.06S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.06J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.04B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.04C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.03D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.01S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.01J. Leivo · Missed · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.01M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.01M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.01D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY3 G · 3.2 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsCGY
1.71 G
All situations
3 G3.2
1.21 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL29%71%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.67 – 2.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsCGY
25
Shots on goal
36
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
23
Hits
16
14
Blocked shots
8
10
Giveaways
16
2
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26J. PetryD101-120.24210—25:36
6S. WeberD000020.08220—23:49
44J. EdmundsonD011-120.15100—20:41
27A. RomanovD000020.05320—20:33
73T. ToffoliC000020.1730010019:43
14N. SuzukiC000-100.000005618:58
15J. KotkaniemiC000010.051005318:46
92J. DrouinL011040.152024017:59
11B. GallagherR000030.111146016:42
17J. AndersonR000-130.11200—15:36
40J. ArmiaR000-100.00100—14:35
53V. MeteD000000.00020—13:46
90T. TatarL000-110.25010—13:41
94C. PerryR000010.10200—13:28
77B. KulakD000000.00030—12:36
24P. DanaultC000010.070005011:29
41P. ByronL000000.073105010:18
62A. LehkonenL000010.09010—09:55
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31C. Price(L)36333.9172.85-0.1557:01

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).