Skip to content
Coyotes at Avalanche
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
▸3
Colorado Avalanche
2
FinalTV ESPN+, FS-A·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-2. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Johan Larsson's goal at 4:06 of the third period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 48% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.3 to 0.9; shots on goal were ARI 14, COL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 17 of 19 (.895); Philipp Grubauer stopped 11 of 14 (.786), 2.1 goals below expected.

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI240317314
COLCOL09210016235

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    D. Brassard(4)PPG
    C. Keller (11), O. Ekman-Larsson (10)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    4:54
  2. ARI
    J. Chychrun(7)
    C. Keller (12), A. Goligoski (2)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    15:17

2nd period

  1. COL
    V. Nichushkin(5)
    N. Kadri (12), R. Graves (4)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    9:31
  2. COL
    A. Burakovsky(5)PPG
    S. Girard (14), M. Rantanen (13)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    14:52

3rd period

  1. ARI
    J. Larsson(4)
    O. Ekman-Larsson (11), P. Kessel (9)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +27 pts
    3-2
    4:06

Penalties

ARI 8 PIM·COL 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:20COLJacob MacDonald · Interferencedrawn by Conor Garland2 min
  • 16:32ARINiklas Hjalmarsson · Cross checkingdrawn by Matt Calvert2 min

2nd

  • 7:43ARIDerick Brassard · Slashingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 8:00COLGabriel Landeskog · Trippingdrawn by Niklas Hjalmarsson2 min
  • 14:10ARIFrederik Gauthier · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Saad2 min

3rd

  • 17:46ARIJason Demers · High stickingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalARI goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Johan Larsson, 3rd 4:06 — ARI 48% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.17N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.16B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.15V. Nichushkin · Goal · xG 0.15T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.12N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.11N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.09B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.09D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.08A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.08M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.08G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.07V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.07G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.05S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.05A. Burakovsky · Goal · xG 0.05V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.05A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.05A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.04D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.04P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.03T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.03S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.02T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02J. MacDonald · Missed · xG 0.02J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01J. MacDonald · Missed · xG 0.01G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.01J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.01A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.00
COL2 G · 2.3 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsCOL
0.93 G
All situations
2 G2.3
0.92 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.11 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 65 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI22%78%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 0.94 – 2.34

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsCOL
14
Shots on goal
35
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
24
Hits
20
21
Blocked shots
10
5
Giveaways
8
11
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD101+130.07040—22:11
33A. GoligoskiD011+100.00120—21:49
23O. Ekman-LarssonD022000.03310—21:00
55J. DemersD000+100.00302—19:27
18C. DvorakC000+110.083306418:28
4N. HjalmarssonD000020.06042—17:40
82J. OesterleD000-100.00010—17:08
17T. PitlickC000+120.19210017:02
81P. KesselR011+100.00000—16:17
8N. SchmaltzC000000.000102716:16
83C. GarlandR000010.01100—16:15
67L. CrouseL000-110.07400—15:51
16D. BrassardC101+110.07202015:35
22J. LarssonL101010.101205015:34
9C. KellerR022+100.03110—14:18
36C. FischerR000010.16200—10:32
91D. CaggiulaL000000.00110—09:38
34F. GauthierC000010.060021708:13
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper19172.8951.51-0.4942:20
32A. Raanta(W)161601.0000.83+0.8317:40

Season series

COL leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).