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NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
Utah Mammoth
2
FinalTV ESPN+, FS-A·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Utah Mammoth 3-2. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikko Rantanen's goal at 1:43 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 48% to 63%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.3 to 1.6; shots on goal were COL 29, ARI 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Hunter Miska stopped 16 of 18 (.889); Adin Hill stopped 26 of 29 (.897). Three stars: 1. Nazem Kadri (1 G, 2 A), 2. Mikko Rantanen (1 G, 1 A), 3. Phil Kessel (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. Kadri1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    M. Rantanen1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    P. Kessel1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL0111929329
ARIARI060428218

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    M. Rantanen(8)PPG
    N. Kadri (5), N. MacKinnon (15)
    wristxG 0.44win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    1:43

3rd period

  1. COL
    A. Burakovsky(4)
    N. Kadri (6), M. Rantanen (8)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    2-0
    6:04
  2. COL
    N. Kadri(6)
    C. Makar (13)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +4 pts
    3-0
    11:00
  3. ARI
    P. Kessel(8)
    C. Dvorak (7), J. Chychrun (10)
    backhandxG 0.15
    3-1
    18:24
  4. ARI
    D. Caggiula(1)
    C. Garland (12), P. Kessel (8)
    wristxG 0.30win prob +2 pts
    3-2
    19:07

Penalties

COL 11 PIM·ARI 13 PIM

1st

  • 0:53ARIJakob Chychrun · Slashingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 10:44COLCale Makar · Slashingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
  • 15:08ARIDerick Brassard · Hookingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 18:24COLGabriel Landeskog · Roughingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min
  • 18:24ARIConor Garland · Roughingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min
  • 19:43ARINick Schmaltz · Hookingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

2nd

  • 12:26COLBowen Byram · Slashingdrawn by Derick Brassard2 min

3rd

  • 3:14ARIDrake Caggiula · Fightingdrawn by Bowen Byram5 min
  • 3:14COLBowen Byram · Fightingdrawn by Drake Caggiula5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalCOL goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Mikko Rantanen, 2nd 1:43 — COL 48% → 63%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Caggiula · Goal · xG 0.30N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.15P. Kessel · Goal · xG 0.15N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.14D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.13C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.11J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.10T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.09D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.07J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.05L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.03C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.03L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.03C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.03C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.03C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.03C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.02D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.01C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.01L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01
ARI2 G · 1.6 xG · 28 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsARI
3.33 G
All situations
2 G1.6
2.32 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
1.01 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL78%22%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.27 – 1.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsARI
29
Shots on goal
18
59%
Faceoffs
41%
1/3
Power play
0/2
11
Penalty minutes
13
23
Hits
26
12
Blocked shots
11
4
Giveaways
8
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD011010.11302—26:54
49S. GirardD000-100.02320—24:30
29N. MacKinnonC011-130.481006024:02
7D. ToewsD000-100.06000—23:32
96M. RantanenR112+220.61300—19:52
27R. GravesD000+120.05320—18:29
92G. LandeskogL000+120.321025717:19
91N. KadriC123+240.461206716:27
17T. JostC000-110.110006015:30
37J. CompherL000-100.031106715:19
20B. SaadL000-110.03010—15:01
95A. BurakovskyL101+150.52100—14:27
41P. BellemareL000-130.220105013:56
72J. DonskoiR000-100.1613010013:13
13V. NichushkinR000020.09200—12:36
4B. ByramD000000.00207—12:36
34J. MacDonaldD000+130.05100—10:24
11M. CalvertL000000.00000—00:00
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32H. Miska(W)18162.8891.64-0.3659:53

Season series

COL leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).