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NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
Utah Mammoth
1
FinalTV ESPN+, FS-A·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Utah Mammoth 5-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikko Rantanen's goal at 15:28 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.4 to 1.5; shots on goal were COL 35, ARI 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 24 of 25 (.960); Antti Raanta stopped 30 of 34 (.882). Three stars: 1. Mikko Rantanen (1 G), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (1 A), 3. Oliver Ekman-Larsson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    M. Rantanen1 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    O. Ekman-Larsson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL2812126535
ARIARI0409112125

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    P. Bellemare(3)
    M. Calvert (3), J. Compher (3)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    14:22
  2. COL
    M. Rantanen(18)
    N. MacKinnon (23), G. Landeskog (16)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    15:28

2nd period

  1. COL
    N. Kadri(10)
    A. Burakovsky (13), J. MacDonald (2)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    11:44

3rd period

  1. ARI
    O. Ekman-Larsson(1)PPG
    P. Kessel (11), T. Pitlick (5)
    slapxG 0.06
    3-1
    16:19
  2. COL
    J. Donskoi(9)EN
    T. Jost (3), V. Nichushkin (6)
    deflectedxG 0.86win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    17:28
  3. COL
    J. Donskoi(10)
    T. Jost (4), V. Nichushkin (7)
    wristxG 0.07
    5-1
    19:49

Penalties

COL 4 PIM·ARI 6 PIM

2nd

  • 3:46ARIJakob Chychrun · Holdingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 16:53ARIJordan Oesterle · Slashingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

3rd

  • 6:05COLMatt Calvert · Boardingdrawn by Alex Goligoski2 min
  • 13:03ARINick Schmaltz · Trippingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 15:58COLNazem Kadri · Holdingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalCOL goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Mikko Rantanen, 1st 15:28 — COL 61% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.19D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.12P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.12C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.09I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.09C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.08D. Brassard · Missed · xG 0.08L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.08N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.06L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.06O. Ekman-Larsson · Goal · xG 0.06J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.05C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.05C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.04L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.04J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.04C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.03C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.02I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.02C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hjalmarsson · Missed · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fasching · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.01C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI1 G · 1.5 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsARI
4.44 G
All situations
1 G1.5
3.04 G
Even strength
0 G1.4
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL83%17%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.54 – 1.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsARI
35
Shots on goal
25
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
32
10
Blocked shots
23
5
Giveaways
8
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. ToewsD000+110.03020—22:56
8C. MakarD000+110.09110—21:12
49S. GirardD000+300.00100—20:07
29N. MacKinnonC011+120.242004319:07
92G. LandeskogL011+110.1811010018:58
91N. KadriC101+140.600124618:53
96M. RantanenR101+140.37010—18:19
27R. GravesD000+120.01100—17:41
34J. MacDonaldD011+300.02210—17:31
4B. ByramD000+110.01420—16:08
13V. NichushkinR022+220.11000—15:56
95A. BurakovskyL011+120.22100—15:49
72J. DonskoiR202+251.3500010014:08
17T. JostC022+250.523005713:35
20B. SaadL000+100.160003313:20
37J. CompherL011+120.240105611:25
41P. BellemareL101+120.130006711:23
11M. CalvertL011+110.16002—11:11
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(W)25241.9601.49+0.4960:00

Season series

COL leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).