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Coyotes at Avalanche
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
3
Colorado Avalanche
▸9
FinalTV BSAZ, ALT·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Utah Mammoth 9-3. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 6-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pierre-Edouard Bellemare's goal at 5:36 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.3 to 2.0; shots on goal were ARI 31, COL 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Ivan Prosvetov stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 2.5 goals below expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Joonas Donskoi (3 G, 1 A), 2. Gabriel Landeskog (2 G, 1 A), 3. Mikko Rantanen (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    J. Donskoi3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    G. Landeskog2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    M. Rantanen1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI21318010331
COLCOL518110310938

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    J. Donskoi(13)
    T. Jost (5), S. Girard (22)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:04
  2. COL
    A. Burakovsky(8)
    N. Kadri (16), S. Girard (23)
    slapxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    4:31
  3. ARI
    M. Bunting(1)
    A. Goligoski (5), N. Schmaltz (13)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    4:41
  4. COL
    P. Bellemare(5)
    J. Compher (5), J. MacDonald (3)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    5:36
  5. COL
    J. Donskoi(14)
    R. Graves (11), V. Nichushkin (9)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +10 pts
    1-4
    6:04
  6. COL
    J. Donskoi(15)PPG
    M. Rantanen (21), G. Landeskog (19)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +4 pts
    1-5
    7:31
  7. ARI
    O. Ekman-Larsson(2)PPG
    L. Crouse (5)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +4 pts
    2-5
    18:57

2nd period

  1. ARI
    C. Garland(10)
    M. Bunting (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +7 pts
    3-5
    17:45
  2. COL
    G. Landeskog(13)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06win prob +7 pts
    3-6
    18:06

3rd period

  1. COL
    M. Rantanen(21)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (29), D. Toews (14)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +1 pts
    3-7
    6:05
  2. COL
    G. Landeskog(14)
    M. Rantanen (22), N. MacKinnon (30)
    wristxG 0.11
    3-8
    11:57
  3. COL
    A. Burakovsky(9)
    J. Donskoi (13), P. Bellemare (1)
    wristxG 0.22
    3-9
    16:49

Penalties

ARI 12 PIM·COL 24 PIM

1st

  • 0:49ARIAlex Goligoski · Trippingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 7:22ARIserved by D. Hunt · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 10:32COLTyson Jost · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Ivan Prosvetov2 min
  • 11:15ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson · Hookingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min
  • 12:19COLDevon Toews · Hookingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
  • 14:36COLTyson Jost · Hookingdrawn by Ilya Lyubushkin2 min
  • 17:33COLMikko Rantanen · Cross checkingdrawn by John Hayden2 min
  • 20:00ARIJohn Hayden · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min

2nd

  • 15:12COLPierre-Edouard Bellemare · Trippingdrawn by Jason Demers2 min

3rd

  • 4:33ARIJohn Hayden · Holdingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min
  • 14:41ARIConor Garland · Roughingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 14:41COLNathan MacKinnon · Roughingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min
  • 14:41COLNathan MacKinnon · Roughingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min
  • 14:41COLNathan MacKinnon · Misconductdrawn by Conor Garland10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalARI goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Pierre-Edouard Bellemare, 1st 5:36 — COL 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Burakovsky · Goal · xG 0.22J. Donskoi · Goal · xG 0.20A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.16A. Burakovsky · Goal · xG 0.16J. Donskoi · Goal · xG 0.13J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.12J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.11G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.11J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.11G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.10G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.10J. Donskoi · Goal · xG 0.10L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.10B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.08G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.08P. Bellemare · Goal · xG 0.08R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.07V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.07C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.06V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.06G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.06C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.06G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.06J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.05J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.04T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03D. Renouf · On goal · xG 0.03R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.02J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.02P. Bellemare · Missed · xG 0.02J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.00
COL9 G · 3.3 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsCOL
2.03 G
All situations
9 G3.3
1.32 G
Even strength
7 G2.6
0.71 G
Power play
2 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI28%72%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.04 – 3.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsCOL
31
Shots on goal
38
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/6
Power play
2/4
12
Penalty minutes
24
24
Hits
10
17
Blocked shots
8
4
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD000-220.05000—23:36
23O. Ekman-LarssonD101-210.04002—21:28
33A. GoligoskiD011-130.05112—20:40
8N. SchmaltzC011+140.291203817:51
81P. KesselR000-250.19200—16:54
82J. OesterleD000-120.02150—16:54
67L. CrouseL011-100.012106715:58
18C. DvorakC000-210.131005015:55
22J. LarssonL000-310.112004015:36
55J. DemersD000-100.00300—15:33
83C. GarlandR101-140.22002—15:30
58M. BuntingL112+130.28000—15:04
9C. KellerR000-310.26100—15:00
16D. BrassardC000-310.171006414:08
46I. LyubushkinD000-210.02260—14:03
36C. FischerR000-100.012102513:45
15J. HaydenC000000.00314013:02
28D. HuntL000-220.16200—11:47
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50I. Prosvetov28235.8212.47-2.5353:38
31A. Hill(L)1064.6000.88-3.1206:04

Season series

COL leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).