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Stars at Lightning
NHL

Dallas Stars at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
0
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸5
FinalTV FS-SW, SUN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Dallas Stars 5-0. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Cirelli's goal at 4:06 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 68% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.0 to 1.5; shots on goal were DAL 20, TBL 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Anton Khudobin stopped 11 of 16 (.688), 3.4 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 20 of 20 (1.000), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (20 saves, 1.000), 2. Anthony Cirelli (1 G, 1 A), 3. Steven Stamkos (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy20 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    TBL
    A. Cirelli1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    S. Stamkos1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL060806020
TBLTBL1531016521

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    O. Palat(8)PPG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.21win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    13:18

2nd period

  1. TBL
    A. Cirelli(5)SHG
    S. Stamkos (9), J. Rutta (5)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    4:06
  2. TBL
    B. Point(7)
    T. Johnson (4), M. Sergachev (13)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    8:17
  3. TBL
    P. Maroon(2)PPG
    T. Johnson (5), M. Sergachev (14)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +2 pts
    0-4
    15:12

3rd period

  1. TBL
    S. Stamkos(10)
    A. Cirelli (7)
    slapxG 0.06
    0-5
    1:07

Penalties

DAL 11 PIM·TBL 19 PIM

1st

  • 6:51TBLRyan McDonagh · Trippingdrawn by Jason Robertson2 min
  • 6:51DALJamie Oleksiak · Fightingdrawn by Patrick Maroon5 min
  • 6:51TBLPatrick Maroon · Fightingdrawn by Jamie Oleksiak5 min
  • 13:15DALJason Robertson · Trippingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
  • 15:34TBLSteven Stamkos · Slashingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min

2nd

  • 0:52TBLVictor Hedman · Holdingdrawn by Joel Kiviranta2 min
  • 2:40TBLYanni Gourde · Hookingdrawn by John Klingberg2 min
  • 13:56DALJohn Klingberg · Trippingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min

3rd

  • 2:34TBLAlexander Volkov · Trippingdrawn by Justin Dowling2 min
  • 12:11TBLYanni Gourde · Trippingdrawn by John Klingberg2 min
  • 17:37DALJason Dickinson · Roughingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min
  • 17:37TBLBarclay Goodrow · Roughingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalDAL goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Anthony Cirelli, 2nd 4:06 — TBL 68% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Palat · Goal · xG 0.21A. Cirelli · Goal · xG 0.17P. Maroon · Goal · xG 0.16Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.14E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.14B. Point · On goal · xG 0.10S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.10P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.09Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.09B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.07E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.07B. Point · Goal · xG 0.07A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.07J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.07S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.06A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.06S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.06P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.05M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.04O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.04C. Foote · Missed · xG 0.03M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.03C. Foote · Missed · xG 0.03E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.01E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL5 G · 2.0 xG · 26 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsTBL
1.50 G
All situations
5 G2.0
1.20 G
Even strength
2 G1.1
0.30 G
Power play
2 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 53 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL40%60%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.50 – 1.98

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsTBL
20
Shots on goal
21
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/6
Power play
2/2
11
Penalty minutes
19
22
Hits
22
6
Blocked shots
12
2
Giveaways
0
0
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD000-120.17000—24:17
3J. KlingbergD000030.12132—23:37
23E. LindellD000-140.18300—20:21
16J. PavelskiC000000.001005719:40
24R. HintzC000000.001005819:38
2J. OleksiakD000020.08015—18:12
14J. BennL000000.031105017:29
18J. DickinsonC000-100.005024316:53
12R. FaksaC000-220.152006016:15
21J. RobertsonL000-220.15002—16:14
11A. CoglianoC000-120.301005016:10
15B. ComeauL000-100.04100—14:29
34D. GurianovR000-200.00100—14:20
25J. KivirantaL000000.01100—13:28
5A. SekeraD000-200.00010—13:18
13M. PysykD000-110.01000—11:58
37J. DowlingC000-120.28100010:55
17N. CaamanoR000000.00300—09:10
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Khudobin(L)16115.6881.58-3.4241:07
29J. Oettinger5501.0000.40+0.4018:53

Season series

TBL leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).