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Lightning at Stars
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸2
Dallas Stars
0
FinalTV FS-SW, SUN·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Dallas Stars 2-0. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ondrej Palat's goal at 7:29 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 50% to 59%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.4 to 2.3; shots on goal were TBL 19, DAL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 28 of 28 (1.000), 2.3 goals saved above expected; Anton Khudobin stopped 17 of 18 (.944), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (28 saves, 1.000), 2. Ondrej Palat (1 G), 3. Anton Khudobin (17 saves, .944).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy28 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    TBL
    O. Palat1 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    A. Khudobin17 saves, .944

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL150816219
DALDAL01107010028

Scoring

2 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    O. Palat(9)PPG
    V. Hedman (16), S. Stamkos (10)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +9 pts
    1-0
    7:29

3rd period

  1. TBL
    Y. Gourde(6)EN
    B. Coleman (5)
    wristxG 0.42win prob +3 pts
    2-0
    19:55

Penalties

TBL 11 PIM·DAL 15 PIM

1st

  • 7:19DALBlake Comeau · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Johnson2 min
  • 8:17TBLBlake Coleman · Hookingdrawn by Jamie Oleksiak2 min

2nd

  • 10:47DALNick Caamano · Slashingdrawn by Victor Hedman2 min
  • 14:14DALJason Dickinson · Holdingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min

3rd

  • 3:15TBLBrayden Point · Hookingdrawn by Jason Robertson2 min
  • 5:58TBLBrayden Point · Fightingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano5 min
  • 5:58DALAndrew Cogliano · Fightingdrawn by Brayden Point5 min
  • 5:58TBLCal Foote · Slashingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min
  • 11:31DALNick Caamano · High sticking double minordrawn by Jan Rutta4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalTBL goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Ondrej Palat, 1st 7:29 — TBL 50% → 59%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.15J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.14A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.13A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.12J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.12D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.11J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.10D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.10R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.09J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.09A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.08J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.08R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.08M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.08J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.07J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.07J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.07J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.07D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.06J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.05M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.04J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.04J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.04R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.03B. Comeau · Missed · xG 0.02J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.02N. Caamano · On goal · xG 0.02D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.02J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.02J. Dowling · Missed · xG 0.02D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.02J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hanley · Missed · xG 0.01J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.01J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.01R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.00J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.00
DAL0 G · 2.3 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsDAL
3.41 G
All situations
0 G2.3
1.00 G
Even strength
0 G2.1
1.21 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL49%51%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 2.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsDAL
19
Shots on goal
28
59%
Faceoffs
41%
1/5
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
15
21
Hits
26
15
Blocked shots
14
12
Giveaways
13
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27R. McDonaghD000+100.02130—25:45
77V. HedmanD011020.22000—25:00
81E. CernakD000+100.02320—22:00
37Y. GourdeC101+120.751006420:42
18O. PalatL101010.13200—18:36
98M. SergachevD000010.09120—18:15
17A. KillornL000010.74100—18:11
21B. PointC000040.550073317:38
20B. ColemanL011+100.00202—17:26
71A. CirelliC000010.0603010016:44
91S. StamkosC011010.210006415:43
19B. GoodrowC000+100.023006315:23
9T. JohnsonC000020.151105015:18
44J. RuttaD000010.02010—13:37
14P. MaroonL000010.09100—11:30
7M. JosephR000000.08310—08:02
52C. FooteD000010.01022—07:41
79R. ColtonC000010.202006706:41
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)282801.0002.31+2.3159:48

Season series

TBL leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).