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Predators at Panthers
NHL

Nashville Predators at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
1
Florida Panthers
▸2
FinalTV FS-F, FS-TN·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Nashville Predators 2-1. The Predators scored first; the Panthers answered. The Panthers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Carter Verhaeghe's goal at 15:31 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.9 to 1.5; shots on goal were NSH 25, FLA 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Pekka Rinne stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Chris Driedger stopped 24 of 25 (.960). Three stars: 1. Carter Verhaeghe (1 G, 1 A), 2. Aleksander Barkov (1 G, 1 A), 3. Pekka Rinne (34 saves, .944).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    C. Verhaeghe1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    A. Barkov1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    P. Rinne34 saves, .944

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH1509011125
FLAFLA0202907236

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    C. Sissons(2)
    R. Josi (4), R. Ellis (4)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:04

2nd period

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(4)
    C. Verhaeghe (3), O. Tippett (1)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    5:58
  2. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(6)
    A. Barkov (7), M. Weegar (3)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +21 pts
    1-2
    15:31

Penalties

NSH 6 PIM·FLA 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:23NSHMark Borowiecki · Interferencedrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min
  • 16:21NSHMathieu Olivier · Cross checkingdrawn by Vinnie Hinostroza2 min

2nd

  • 18:20NSHNick Cousins · Cross checkingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 18:20FLAJonathan Huberdeau · Roughingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min

3rd

  • 19:51FLAAaron Ekblad · Slashingdrawn by Erik Haula2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalNSH goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Carter Verhaeghe, 2nd 15:31 — FLA 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.27C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.16J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.16P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.15A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.13E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.12A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.12C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.12E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.11P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.11A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.10A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.10F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.10A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.10A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.09N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.09J. Lammikko · On goal · xG 0.07A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.07A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.06E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.05A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.05M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.05J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.05M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.04A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.04E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.04O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.03A. Stralman · Missed · xG 0.03R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.03K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02N. Juulsen · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02N. Juulsen · On goal · xG 0.02O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01N. Juulsen · Missed · xG 0.01A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.01A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA2 G · 2.9 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsFLA
1.51 G
All situations
2 G2.9
1.31 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH25%75%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.45 – 2.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsFLA
25
Shots on goal
36
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/1
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
4
25
Hits
40
17
Blocked shots
16
4
Giveaways
11
7
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. EllisD011+110.01020—27:29
59R. JosiD011+160.15100—27:02
57D. FabbroD000-120.05310—21:01
14M. EkholmD000-100.05010—20:18
95M. DucheneC000-200.002204320:09
9F. ForsbergL000030.14300—19:52
64M. GranlundC000020.2211010019:01
56E. HaulaL000-130.172105016:30
33V. ArvidssonL000-110.23000—15:53
10C. SissonsC101+120.231103114:23
19C. JarnkrokC000000.050003113:18
5M. BenningD000-110.01210—12:42
25M. OlivierR000020.07212—12:40
21N. CousinsC000000.000025011:37
90M. BorowieckiD000-110.02332—11:11
23R. GrimaldiR000-100.00120—11:07
28E. TolvanenR000010.06210—11:02
13Y. TreninC000+100.01200009:23
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35P. Rinne(L)36342.9442.92+0.9258:46

Season series

FLA leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).