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Panthers at Predators
NHL

Florida Panthers at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸6
Nashville Predators
2
FinalTV NHLN, FS-F·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Nashville Predators 6-2. The Predators scored first; the Panthers answered. The Panthers led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Noel Acciari's goal at 11:17 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 67% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.5 to 1.7; shots on goal were FLA 32, NSH 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 28 of 30 (.933); Pekka Rinne stopped 26 of 32 (.813), 3.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Noel Acciari (3 G), 2. Aaron Ekblad (1 G, 1 A), 3. Filip Forsberg (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    N. Acciari3 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    A. Ekblad1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA19311212632
NSHNSH11206112230

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    E. Tolvanen(4)PPG
    F. Forsberg (13), R. Josi (13)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    5:46
  2. FLA
    A. Ekblad(9)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    19:47

2nd period

  1. FLA
    J. Huberdeau(10)
    P. Hornqvist (11), R. Gudas (3)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    1:15
  2. FLA
    N. Acciari(1)
    A. Ekblad (8), F. Vatrano (3)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    11:17
  3. FLA
    N. Acciari(2)
    K. Yandle (12)
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +9 pts
    4-1
    18:46

3rd period

  1. NSH
    V. Arvidsson(3)
    F. Forsberg (14), R. Johansen (6)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +8 pts
    4-2
    0:19
  2. FLA
    F. Vatrano(8)
    A. Barkov (18)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +2 pts
    5-2
    14:56
  3. FLA
    N. Acciari(3)PPG
    K. Yandle (13), J. Huberdeau (18)
    backhandxG 0.14
    6-2
    16:58

Penalties

FLA 9 PIM·NSH 13 PIM

1st

  • 5:39FLAGrigori Denisenko · Trippingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 13:12NSHAlexandre Carrier · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min

2nd

  • 5:16NSHRyan Johansen · Trippingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min
  • 9:00FLAFrank Vatrano · Holding the stickdrawn by Alexandre Carrier2 min

3rd

  • 8:03NSHFilip Forsberg · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Sergei Bobrovsky2 min
  • 15:09NSHNick Cousins · Cross checkingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
  • 15:09NSHNick Cousins · Fightingdrawn by Radko Gudas5 min
  • 15:09FLARadko Gudas · Fightingdrawn by Nick Cousins5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalFLA goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Noel Acciari, 2nd 11:17 — FLA 67% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Arvidsson · Goal · xG 0.23E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.15M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.15R. Grimaldi · Missed · xG 0.10E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.09M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.08R. Grimaldi · Missed · xG 0.07V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06E. Tolvanen · Goal · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.05E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.05V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.04V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.04R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.03V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.03E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.03C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.02C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.02R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.01A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.01M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.01R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.01R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.00M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.00M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH2 G · 1.7 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsNSH
2.56 G
All situations
2 G1.7
1.35 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
1.21 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA64%36%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.45 – 1.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsNSH
32
Shots on goal
30
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/4
Power play
1/2
9
Penalty minutes
13
14
Hits
13
16
Blocked shots
11
5
Giveaways
6
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD112+140.29010—24:59
3K. YandleD022+330.09010—21:23
42G. ForslingD000050.21100—20:54
16A. BarkovC011030.180404620:42
52M. WeegarD000+100.02120—19:42
7R. GudasD011+210.06205—18:40
77F. VatranoR112+110.18102—17:19
11J. HuberdeauL112+220.22010—17:17
70P. HornqvistR011+220.05210—16:11
23C. VerhaegheC000010.12000016:05
21A. WennbergC000+210.000104215:47
19M. MarchmentL000000.00210—14:16
27E. LuostarinenC000000.001105813:41
44K. ConnautonD000+100.00100—13:39
14G. DenisenkoL000020.16112—12:59
55N. AcciariC303+250.830104012:37
83J. LammikkoC000+200.000005011:00
94R. LombergL000+120.09210—10:46
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)30282.9331.73-0.2759:56

Season series

FLA leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).