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Panthers at Predators
NHL

Florida Panthers at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸7
Nashville Predators
4
FinalTV BSSO, BSSUN·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Nashville Predators 7-4. The lead changed hands 4 times. The Predators led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Frank Vatrano's goal at 7:15 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 48% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 5.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were FLA 55, NSH 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 2.2 goals below expected; Juuse Saros stopped 49 of 55 (.891), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Huberdeau (2 G, 3 A), 2. Aleksander Barkov (2 G, 1 A), 3. Sam Bennett (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    J. Huberdeau2 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    A. Barkov2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Bennett3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA121221413755
NSHNSH1831309430

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    R. Ellis(4)
    M. Ekholm (15)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:07
  2. FLA
    A. Barkov(23)PPG
    K. Yandle (21), J. Huberdeau (37)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +9 pts
    1-1
    8:28

2nd period

  1. FLA
    A. Duclair(7)PPG
    J. Huberdeau (38), S. Bennett (12)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    2:56
  2. NSH
    L. Kunin(8)
    C. Jarnkrok (13), M. Granlund (12)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    6:50
  3. NSH
    T. Jeannot(3)
    R. Josi (25), C. Sissons (7)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +20 pts
    2-3
    12:40
  4. FLA
    A. Barkov(24)
    O. Tippett (8), M. Weegar (26)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +22 pts
    3-3
    17:32
  5. NSH
    R. Ellis(5)
    M. Duchene (7), N. Cousins (11)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +23 pts
    3-4
    19:37

3rd period

  1. FLA
    O. Tippett(6)
    J. Huberdeau (39), S. Bennett (13)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +26 pts
    4-4
    4:57
  2. FLA
    F. Vatrano(18)
    A. Wennberg (11), A. Heponiemi (1)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +30 pts
    5-4
    7:15
  3. FLA
    J. Huberdeau(17)PPG
    A. Barkov (28), S. Bennett (14)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +9 pts
    6-4
    13:48
  4. FLA
    J. Huberdeau(18)
    Unassisted
    xG 0.70win prob +1 pts
    7-4
    18:23

Penalties

FLA 4 PIM·NSH 10 PIM

1st

  • 7:48NSHBen Harpur · High stickingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 17:11FLAGustav Forsling · Trippingdrawn by Eeli Tolvanen2 min

2nd

  • 1:32NSHRyan Johansen · Hookingdrawn by Aleksi Heponiemi2 min
  • 3:15NSHMikael Granlund · Interferencedrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min
  • 9:53FLAJuho Lammikko · High stickingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min

3rd

  • 8:06NSHMatt Duchene · Holding the stickdrawn by Markus Nutivaara2 min
  • 12:57NSHYakov Trenin · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Gusev2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalFLA goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Frank Vatrano, 3rd 7:15 — FLA 48% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Jeannot · Goal · xG 0.22E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.16C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.15V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.13R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.13T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.12L. Kunin · Goal · xG 0.12R. Ellis · Goal · xG 0.11T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.11L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.10E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.10N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.09E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.07L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.07M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.06V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.06M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.05R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.04M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.03R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ellis · Goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.02E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.02M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH4 G · 2.2 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsNSH
5.77 G
All situations
4 G2.2
3.44 G
Even strength
4 G1.6
0.83 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA82%18%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.42 – 2.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsNSH
55
Shots on goal
30
55%
Faceoffs
45%
3/5
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
10
13
Hits
17
4
Blocked shots
13
8
Giveaways
6
2
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
52M. WeegarD011+220.10120—22:15
42G. ForslingD000+240.26102—21:33
65M. NutivaaraD000-140.20300—21:09
16A. BarkovC213-260.240005320:49
9S. BennettC033+230.700106820:19
3K. YandleD011060.09000—19:58
11J. HuberdeauL235+261.2410010019:57
91A. DuclairL101-230.51000—19:46
62B. MontourD000-130.15100—19:08
21A. WennbergC011+130.401105017:56
77F. VatranoR101+120.57100—14:42
74O. TippettR112+280.74100—14:10
14G. DenisenkoL000-210.08200—12:38
20A. HeponiemiC011+130.40000012:31
8M. KierstedD000-200.00000—11:39
97N. GusevL000-110.03000—10:22
94R. LombergL000-100.00000—08:59
83J. LammikkoC000-100.001023308:09
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky21174.8101.83-2.1740:00
30S. Knight(W)9901.0000.35+0.3520:00

Season series

FLA leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).