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Rangers at Sabres
NHL

New York Rangers at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
2
Buffalo Sabres
▸3
FinalTV MSG-B, MSG 2·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the New York Rangers 3-2. The Rangers scored first; the Sabres answered. The Sabres led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tobias Rieder's goal at 6:03 of the second period, which took the Sabres' chances from 36% to 53%. Expected goals were close — NYR 2.7, BUF 2.6; shots on goal were NYR 30, BUF 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 21 of 24 (.875); Linus Ullmark stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Rasmus Ristolainen (1 A), 2. Dylan Cozens (1 G), 3. Tobias Rieder (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    R. Ristolainen1 A
  2. ★★
    BUF
    D. Cozens1 G
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    T. Rieder1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR2708015230
BUFBUF1821402324

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    C. Kreider(2)
    P. Buchnevich (3)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    6:28
  2. BUF
    D. Cozens(2)PPG
    E. Staal (2), R. Ristolainen (3)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +10 pts
    1-1
    12:50
  3. NYR
    K. Miller(1)
    C. Blackwell (1), B. Lemieux (1)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    19:53

2nd period

  1. BUF
    T. Rieder(2)
    M. Irwin (1)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    6:03
  2. BUF
    J. Eichel(1)PPG
    V. Olofsson (3), R. Dahlin (1)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +13 pts
    2-3
    7:31

Penalties

NYR 8 PIM·BUF 6 PIM

1st

  • 11:38NYRJack Johnson · Trippingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min

2nd

  • 4:01BUFserved by D. Cozens · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 7:18NYRK'Andre Miller · Cross checkingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min
  • 11:20NYRAdam Fox · Holdingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min
  • 16:16NYRChris Kreider · Boardingdrawn by Jake McCabe2 min

3rd

  • 8:37BUFColin Miller · Hookingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
  • 18:23BUFTaylor Hall · Boardingdrawn by K'Andre Miller2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalNYR goalFinal: BUF 100%

Biggest swing: Tobias Rieder, 2nd 6:03 — BUF 36% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.18J. Eichel · Goal · xG 0.17S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.17J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.16T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.15T. Rieder · Goal · xG 0.15T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.13T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.12T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.10T. Rieder · Missed · xG 0.10D. Cozens · Goal · xG 0.09E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.09J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.07V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.07D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.06D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.06J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.06T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.06R. Sheahan · Missed · xG 0.06J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.05V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.04R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.04R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.04V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.01J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.01D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.01M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.01K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.01
BUF3 G · 2.6 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsBUF
2.72 G
All situations
3 G2.6
1.62 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
1.10 G
Power play
2 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR52%48%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.65 – 2.55

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsBUF
30
Shots on goal
24
30%
Faceoffs
70%
0/3
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
17
8
Blocked shots
6
1
Giveaways
3
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
10A. PanarinL000020.10100—23:14
23A. FoxD000010.12212—21:43
77T. DeAngeloD000030.08230—20:43
8J. TroubaD000000.03410—19:57
93M. ZibanejadC000+140.401102919:05
16R. StromeC000+130.371002718:54
89P. BuchnevichL011010.11000—18:17
55R. LindgrenD000000.00000—18:16
27J. JohnsonD000010.01202—18:03
79K. MillerD101+230.08012—17:41
21B. HowdenC000020.052103816:09
24K. KakkoR000-120.22100—15:47
13A. LafrenièreL000-130.37000—14:58
20C. KreiderL101+130.41102—14:38
43C. BlackwellC011+110.30200012:43
33P. Di GiuseppeL000010.01100—10:57
48B. LemieuxL011+100.00200—09:21
17K. RooneyC000000.062005006:28
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(L)24213.8752.59-0.4157:41

Season series

NYR leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).