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Sabres at Rangers
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
2
New York Rangers
▸3
FinalTV MSG-B, MSG 2·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Buffalo Sabres 3-2. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chris Kreider's goal at 9:32 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 71% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 2.5 to 2.1; shots on goal were BUF 24, NYR 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Carter Hutton stopped 16 of 19 (.842); Igor Shesterkin stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Pavel Buchnevich (1 G, 1 A), 2. Adam Fox (2 A), 3. Chris Kreider (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    P. Buchnevich1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Fox2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    C. Kreider1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF1911005224
NYRNYR2111503319

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    P. Buchnevich(6)
    M. Zibanejad (5), A. Fox (10)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:28
  2. BUF
    S. Reinhart(8)
    V. Olofsson (9), J. Eichel (13)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    0:55
  3. NYR
    A. Lafrenière(3)
    P. Buchnevich (9)
    deflectedxG 0.62win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    2:36

2nd period

  1. NYR
    C. Kreider(10)
    R. Lindgren (8), A. Fox (11)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    9:32
  2. BUF
    T. Rieder(4)
    R. Dahlin (8), R. Ristolainen (5)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    16:21

Penalties

BUF 9 PIM·NYR 7 PIM

1st

  • 10:04BUFJack Eichel · Trippingdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min
  • 12:16NYRKevin Rooney · Interferencedrawn by Cody Eakin2 min

2nd

  • 4:27BUFBrandon Montour · Holdingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min

3rd

  • 7:11NYRRyan Lindgren · Fightingdrawn by Dylan Cozens5 min
  • 7:11BUFDylan Cozens · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalBUF goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Chris Kreider, 2nd 9:32 — NYR 71% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.62P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.35K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.30P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.17P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.16C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.13R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.08B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.07R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.07R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.07C. Blackwell · Missed · xG 0.07C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.06R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.06B. Lemieux · Missed · xG 0.05P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.03K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02J. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.02F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.02P. Di Giuseppe · Missed · xG 0.01B. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.01L. Hajek · On goal · xG 0.01C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.01B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.01F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.01B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR3 G · 2.5 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsNYR
2.12 G
All situations
3 G2.5
1.92 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF41%59%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.05 – 2.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsNYR
24
Shots on goal
19
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/1
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
7
24
Hits
23
9
Blocked shots
17
8
Giveaways
4
6
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55R. RistolainenD011040.03410—24:01
26R. DahlinD011000.02110—22:52
9J. EichelC011020.042025619:55
23S. ReinhartC101020.35010019:46
78J. BrysonD000-100.03000—18:39
10H. JokiharjuD000010.07310—18:08
62B. MontourD000-120.16112—17:55
68V. OlofssonL011000.00010—17:36
33C. MillerD000010.02310—17:12
4T. HallL000-210.20300—15:38
27C. LazarC000010.102007515:27
15R. SheahanC000000.060008014:23
53J. SkinnerL000030.40100—14:12
12E. StaalC000-230.160005613:14
13T. RiederL101+120.02110—12:49
21K. OkposoR000-220.39100—12:28
20C. EakinC000+100.060105712:05
24D. CozensC000+100.00205010:55
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Hutton(L)19163.8422.53-0.4758:45

Season series

NYR leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).