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Sabres at Rangers
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
3
New York Rangers
▸6
FinalTV ESPN+, MSG-B·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Buffalo Sabres 6-3. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kaapo Kakko's goal at 12:02 of the first period, which took the Rangers' chances from 54% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.7 to 2.4; shots on goal were BUF 34, NYR 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Dustin Tokarski stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 1.6 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mika Zibanejad (3 G), 2. Adam Fox (3 A), 3. Kaapo Kakko (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad3 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Fox3 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    K. Kakko2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF11111419334
NYRNYR31217210629

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(17)
    A. Lafrenière (8), R. Lindgren (15)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:49
  2. BUF
    J. Skinner(6)
    C. Miller (6), J. Bryson (6)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    6:16
  3. NYR
    K. Kakko(7)
    A. Fox (39), F. Chytil (12)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    12:02
  4. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(18)PPG
    A. Panarin (39), A. Fox (40)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    17:10

2nd period

  1. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(19)
    P. Buchnevich (23), A. Fox (41)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    2:05
  2. BUF
    V. Olofsson(13)PPG
    S. Reinhart (14), C. Mittelstadt (8)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +7 pts
    2-4
    14:47

3rd period

  1. NYR
    K. Kakko(8)PPG
    P. Buchnevich (24), Z. Jones (1)
    wristxG 0.56win prob +4 pts
    2-5
    7:06
  2. BUF
    S. Reinhart(21)
    R. Dahlin (18), D. Tokarski (1)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +3 pts
    3-5
    10:34
  3. NYR
    K. Rooney(8)EN
    B. Howden (6)
    wristxG 0.28
    3-6
    19:05

Penalties

BUF 6 PIM·NYR 8 PIM

1st

  • 16:17BUFRasmus Dahlin · Interferencedrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

2nd

  • 10:49NYRRyan Strome · Trippingdrawn by Riley Sheahan2 min
  • 12:53NYRPavel Buchnevich · High stickingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
  • 16:11BUFTobias Rieder · Hookingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min

3rd

  • 5:52BUFAnders Bjork · Trippingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
  • 14:29NYRVitali Kravtsov · Trippingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min
  • 18:28NYRRyan Strome · Hookingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalBUF goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Kaapo Kakko, 1st 12:02 — NYR 54% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Kakko · Goal · xG 0.56K. Rooney · Goal · xG 0.28C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.21M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.21A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.18R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.13A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.12A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.12C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.11F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.11C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.10M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.10K. Kakko · Goal · xG 0.10M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.09K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.08R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.08A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.08F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.08M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.06A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.06F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.06P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.05A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.05F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.04V. Kravtsov · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Jones · On goal · xG 0.03A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.03A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.03P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.02F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.02C. Blackwell · Missed · xG 0.02K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.01R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.01B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR6 G · 3.7 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsNYR
2.43 G
All situations
5 G3.7
1.72 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.71 G
Power play
2 G1.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF33%67%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.36 – 3.33

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsNYR
34
Shots on goal
29
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/4
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
13
Hits
27
3
Blocked shots
11
4
Giveaways
16
8
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD011030.19102—27:17
10H. JokiharjuD000+110.09200—22:18
23S. ReinhartC112030.120008921:02
68V. OlofssonL101+140.33000—20:13
24D. CozensC000-120.120106019:42
53J. SkinnerL101+130.120004018:40
37C. MittelstadtC011-320.310005018:36
55R. RistolainenD000-200.04500—18:32
54M. SamuelssonD000-210.04120—17:24
78J. BrysonD011000.00000—14:54
96A. BjorkL000010.24002—14:52
25A. RuotsalainenC000020.08000014:33
72T. ThompsonC000-340.22100014:11
33C. MillerD011030.19000—13:55
74R. AsplundC000-210.040005012:33
91D. CaggiulaL000-110.15300—10:05
15R. SheahanC000010.010003609:38
13T. RiederL000020.07002—08:53
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31D. Tokarski(L)28235.8213.37-1.6358:23

Season series

NYR leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).