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Rangers at Sabres
NHL

New York Rangers at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
▸3
Buffalo Sabres
2
Final/OTTV MSG-B, MSG·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Buffalo Sabres 3-2 in overtime, Alexis Lafrenière scoring at 2:47. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexis Lafrenière's goal at 2:47 of overtime, which took the Rangers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 2.9 to 1.0; shots on goal were NYR 39, BUF 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 23 of 25 (.920), 1.0 goals below expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 36 of 39 (.923). Three stars: 1. Artemi Panarin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Linus Ullmark (36 saves, .923), 3. Alexis Lafrenière (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    A. Panarin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BUF
    L. Ullmark36 saves, .923
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    A. Lafrenière1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYRNYR1151901411339
BUFBUF150411501225

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    R. Strome(2)
    A. Panarin (5), P. Buchnevich (4)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    9:44
  2. BUF
    J. Eichel(2)
    S. Reinhart (3)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    19:38

2nd period

  1. NYR
    A. Panarin(3)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.20win prob +21 pts
    2-1
    16:10

3rd period

  1. BUF
    S. Reinhart(3)PPG
    T. Hall (6), V. Olofsson (4)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    4:47

Overtime

  1. NYR
    A. Lafrenière(1)
    C. Blackwell (2)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    2:47

Penalties

NYR 10 PIM·BUF 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:50NYRBrendan Lemieux · Cross checkingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
  • 12:31BUFJack Eichel · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Strome2 min
  • 15:57NYRRyan Lindgren · Holding the stickdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min

2nd

  • 0:32BUFMatt Irwin · Trippingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
  • 14:17NYRColin Blackwell · Interferencedrawn by Jake McCabe2 min
  • 14:17BUFJake McCabe · Slashingdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min
  • 17:11NYRRyan Strome · Slashingdrawn by Jake McCabe2 min

3rd

  • 4:27NYRRyan Lindgren · Cross checkingdrawn by Kyle Okposo2 min
  • 10:46BUFJeff Skinner · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalNYR goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Alexis Lafrenière, OT 2:47 — NYR 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.13J. Eichel · Goal · xG 0.10S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.10V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.07J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.05M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.03J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.02V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.02J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.02V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.01J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.01C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF2 G · 1.0 xG · 27 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsBUF
2.93 G
All situations
2 G1.0
2.03 G
Even strength
1 G0.8
0.90 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR84%16%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.88 – 0.99

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsBUF
39
Shots on goal
25
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/3
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
8
16
Hits
16
12
Blocked shots
14
3
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD000040.34010—24:52
93M. ZibanejadC000030.120205022:19
89P. BuchnevichL011050.65000—21:39
10A. PanarinL112+240.63000—21:06
77T. DeAngeloD000+250.12000—20:54
8J. TroubaD000+120.07230—20:49
79K. MillerD000010.05020—20:12
55R. LindgrenD000-120.02214—19:13
42B. SmithD000+110.03010—17:17
43C. BlackwellC011+100.0040210015:53
16R. StromeC101+210.070025415:49
13A. LafrenièreL101+140.3700010015:27
20C. KreiderL000-100.00200—15:20
21B. HowdenC000-100.072005013:03
17K. RooneyC000010.031103310:54
24K. KakkoR000020.23000—09:55
33P. Di GiuseppeL000020.06200—07:42
48B. LemieuxL000020.03112—07:37
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(W)25232.9200.99-1.0162:47

Season series

NYR leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).