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Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the St. Louis Blues 2-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Esa Lindell's goal at 6:13 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals were close — DAL 2.1, STL 2.1; shots on goal were DAL 27, STL 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Ben Bishop stopped 38 of 39 (.974), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 25 of 27 (.926). Three stars: 1. Ben Bishop (38 saves, .974), 2. Esa Lindell (1 G), 3. Jaden Schwartz (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    B. Bishop38 saves, .974
  2. ★★
    DAL
    E. Lindell1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Schwartz1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL11111105227
STLSTL013011115139

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:42

2nd period

  1. DAL
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    6:13

3rd period

  1. STL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    8:26

Penalties

DAL 8 PIM·STL 4 PIM

1st

  • 6:57STLBrayden Schenn · Hookingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min
  • 19:24DALRoman Polak · Holdingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min

2nd

  • 9:47DALBlake Comeau · Hookingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min
  • 17:14DALAndrew Cogliano · High stickingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min

3rd

  • 8:47DALJamie Benn · Hookingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min
  • 20:00STLBrayden Schenn · Slashingdrawn by Ben Lovejoy2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalDAL goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Esa Lindell, 2nd 6:13 — DAL 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.33D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.10A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.10R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.08A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.07O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.07O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.06A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.06J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.06J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.06J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.05D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.05R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.04B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.04B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.03J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.03J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.02V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.00
STL1 G · 2.1 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsSTL
2.12 G
All situations
1 G2.1
1.62 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL49%51%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.05 – 2.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsSTL
27
Shots on goal
39
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/1
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
14
Hits
30
19
Blocked shots
8
6
Giveaways
15
12
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23E. LindellD101010.04050—29:20
4M. HeiskanenD000+120.03110—22:06
45R. PolakD000010.02412—21:46
21B. LovejoyD000020.05020—19:21
3J. KlingbergD011+120.18010—18:53
16J. DickinsonC000-120.1003010018:51
91T. SeguinC011020.401004418:50
15B. ComeauL000000.00102—17:39
14J. BennL000+150.2220210016:19
24R. HintzC000+120.100106716:15
12R. FaksaC000000.080203115:16
13M. JanmarkC011+130.21000014:27
36M. ZuccarelloR000-100.23010—13:53
47A. RadulovR011+140.24100—13:38
17A. CoglianoC000000.002023311:45
37J. DowlingC000000.011102508:21
48D. HeatheringtonD000000.00110—07:56
90J. SpezzaC101+110.140003307:24
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30B. Bishop(W)39381.9742.12+1.1260:00

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).