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Stars at Blues
NHL

Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸4
St. Louis Blues
2
FinalTV NBC, SN·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the St. Louis Blues 4-2. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jaden Schwartz's goal at 1:48 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 11% to 27%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.2 to 2.8; shots on goal were DAL 35, STL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Ben Bishop stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 31 of 34 (.912). Three stars: 1. Roope Hintz (2 G, 1 A), 2. Colton Parayko (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jason Dickinson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    R. Hintz2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    C. Parayko1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Dickinson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL31007118435
STLSTL110014110234

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    R. Hintz(3)
    M. Zuccarello (2), J. Dickinson (1)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:11
  2. DAL
    M. Heiskanen(2)
    R. Hintz (3), M. Zuccarello (3)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    2-0
    13:39
  3. STL
    C. Parayko(1)
    R. O'Reilly (3), D. Perron (3)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    14:25
  4. DAL
    M. Janmark(1)
    J. Dickinson (2)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    14:51

3rd period

  1. STL
    J. Schwartz(5)
    C. Parayko (4)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    1:48
  2. DAL
    R. Hintz(4)EN
    J. Benn (6)
    wristxG 0.56win prob +4 pts
    4-2
    19:57

Penalties

DAL 14 PIM·STL 8 PIM

1st

  • 13:04STLVladimir Tarasenko · Roughingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min
  • 13:04DALJamie Benn · Roughingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min
  • 17:05DALTaylor Fedun · Interferencedrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min
  • 18:41DALRadek Faksa · Hookingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
  • 20:00DALMattias Janmark · Roughingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min
  • 20:00STLPatrick Maroon · Roughingdrawn by Esa Lindell2 min

2nd

  • 9:28STLDavid Perron · Holdingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min
  • 11:37DALBlake Comeau · High stickingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min
  • 16:01DALJohn Klingberg · Interferencedrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min

3rd

  • 12:39STLDavid Perron · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Ben Bishop2 min
  • 17:15DALRoope Hintz · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalDAL goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Jaden Schwartz, 3rd 1:48 — STL 11% → 27%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.18B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.16V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.13D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.11D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.11V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.11P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.10R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.09J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.09J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.09B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.08A. Steen · Missed · xG 0.08J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.07T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.07R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.06J. Bouwmeester · Missed · xG 0.06J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.06J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.06J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.06D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.06C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.06V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.06B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.05R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.05R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.05D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.04O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.04V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.04P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.04P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.04V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.04J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.04D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.04J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.03C. Gunnarsson · On goal · xG 0.03V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · Goal · xG 0.03V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.01I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.00
STL2 G · 2.8 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsSTL
3.23 G
All situations
2 G2.8
2.13 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL46%54%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.56 – 2.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsSTL
35
Shots on goal
34
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
0/5
14
Penalty minutes
8
16
Hits
24
18
Blocked shots
5
8
Giveaways
6
9
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23E. LindellD000010.11360—30:13
3J. KlingbergD000030.07012—23:02
4M. HeiskanenD101+340.41000—22:14
45R. PolakD000+130.04000—18:05
21B. LovejoyD000+100.00040—17:43
16J. DickinsonC022+120.090006717:30
91T. SeguinC000-110.182005817:06
14J. BennL011+130.192024316:52
47A. RadulovR000030.21210—16:40
15B. ComeauL000+100.00102—15:04
24R. HintzC213+230.890124615:01
36M. ZuccarelloR022030.19110—15:01
12R. FaksaC000000.054224514:20
13M. JanmarkC101+120.30022012:05
17A. CoglianoC000000.00000011:49
37J. DowlingC000030.160006008:51
90J. SpezzaC000030.280007108:24
42T. FedunD000-110.00102—08:00
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30B. Bishop(W)34322.9412.78+0.7860:00

Series

STL leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).