St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars
Recap
written from the game dataThe St. Louis Blues beat the Dallas Stars 4-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Perron's goal at 15:24 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 47% to 69%. Expected goals were close — STL 1.9, DAL 1.9; shots on goal were STL 25, DAL 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Ben Bishop stopped 16 of 20 (.800), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jaden Schwartz (1 G, 1 A), 2. Alex Pietrangelo (1 G), 3. David Perron (1 G).
Three stars
- ★J. Schwartz1 G, 1 A

- ★★A. Pietrangelo1 G

- ★★★D. Perron1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-01:03
1-111:35
2nd period
2-115:24
3rd period
3-17:37
4-18:10
Penalties
1st
- 3:06
Mattias Janmark · High stickingdrawn by Joel Edmundson2 min
- 10:58
Vince Dunn · Slashingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min
- 13:07
Alexander Radulov · Trippingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min
- 13:13
Brayden Schenn · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min
- 17:29
Blake Comeau · Trippingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
- 19:06
Patrick Maroon · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Ben Bishop2 min
3rd
- 15:58
Alexander Radulov · Holding the stickdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: David Perron, 2nd 15:24 — 47% → 69%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.94 G
- All situations
- 1 G1.9
- 1.24 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.6
- 0.70 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.88 – 1.88
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 25
- Shots on goal
- 23
- 38%
- Faceoffs
- 62%
- 0/4
- Power play
- 1/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 34
- Hits
- 35
- 10
- Blocked shots
- 9
- 10
- Giveaways
- 22
- 6
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
