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St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars

FinalTV NBC, SN·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Dallas Stars 4-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Perron's goal at 15:24 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 47% to 69%. Expected goals were close — STL 1.9, DAL 1.9; shots on goal were STL 25, DAL 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Ben Bishop stopped 16 of 20 (.800), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jaden Schwartz (1 G, 1 A), 2. Alex Pietrangelo (1 G), 3. David Perron (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Schwartz1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    A. Pietrangelo1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    D. Perron1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL11014211425
DALDAL170907123

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.02win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    1:03
  2. DAL
    T. Seguin(4)PPG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +9 pts
    1-1
    11:35

2nd period

  1. STL
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +21 pts
    2-1
    15:24

3rd period

  1. STL
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    7:37
  2. STL
    slapxG 0.10win prob +5 pts
    4-1
    8:10

Penalties

STL 6 PIM·DAL 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:06DALMattias Janmark · High stickingdrawn by Joel Edmundson2 min
  • 10:58STLVince Dunn · Slashingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min
  • 13:07DALAlexander Radulov · Trippingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min
  • 13:13STLBrayden Schenn · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min
  • 17:29DALBlake Comeau · Trippingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
  • 19:06STLPatrick Maroon · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Ben Bishop2 min

3rd

  • 15:58DALAlexander Radulov · Holding the stickdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalSTL goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: David Perron, 2nd 15:24 — STL 47% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.20R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.19R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.12J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.11T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.10M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.10M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.10R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.09M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.09J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.09T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.07A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.07M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.06M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.06A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.06M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.05J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.05M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.04A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.03E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.02R. Polak · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.02J. Dowling · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.02A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.01A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.00J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL1 G · 1.9 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsDAL
1.94 G
All situations
1 G1.9
1.24 G
Even strength
0 G1.6
0.70 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL50%50%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.88 – 1.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsDAL
25
Shots on goal
23
38%
Faceoffs
62%
0/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
34
Hits
35
10
Blocked shots
9
10
Giveaways
22
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. PietrangeloD101+220.16100—25:24
55C. ParaykoD011+210.17310—24:41
19J. BouwmeesterD000+210.00020—22:37
90R. O'ReillyC011+130.281103121:30
6J. EdmundsonD011+220.08320—19:01
10B. SchennC000+110.154123617:38
91V. TarasenkoR000+120.33000—17:25
17J. SchwartzL112+240.20200—16:56
57D. PerronL101+230.15200—16:55
70O. SundqvistC011+210.021102515:36
20A. SteenL011+100.00200—14:25
21T. BozakC000020.130005014:13
49I. BarbashevL011+100.002004513:36
4C. GunnarssonD000000.00010—13:11
9S. BlaisL101+120.12900—12:20
29V. DunnD000000.08112—11:26
18R. ThomasC000010.04000009:26
7P. MaroonL000000.00302—09:03
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(W)23221.9571.89+0.8960:00

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).