Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues
Recap
written from the game dataThe St. Louis Blues beat the Dallas Stars 3-2. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Spezza's goal at 10:25 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 29% to 47%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.9 to 1.4; shots on goal were DAL 29, STL 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Ben Bishop stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 1.6 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Vladimir Tarasenko (2 G), 2. Jordan Binnington (27 saves, .931), 3. Robby Fabbri (1 G).
Three stars
- ★V. Tarasenko2 G

- ★★J. Binnington27 saves, .931

- ★★★R. Fabbri1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-15:57
2nd period
1-110:25
1-218:03
3rd period
1-33:51
2-317:43
Penalties
2nd
- 6:37
Jamie Benn · Trippingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
- 17:55
Roman Polak · Hookingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min
3rd
- 1:09
Carl Gunnarsson · Trippingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min
- 12:22
Alex Pietrangelo · Roughingdrawn by Esa Lindell2 min
- 12:22
Vince Dunn · Roughingdrawn by Blake Comeau2 min
- 12:22
Vince Dunn · Roughingdrawn by Blake Comeau2 min
- 12:22
Blake Comeau · Roughingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
- 12:22
Blake Comeau · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jordan Binnington2 min
- 12:22
Esa Lindell · Roughingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min
- 17:02
Alex Pietrangelo · High stickingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jason Spezza, 2nd 10:25 — 29% → 47%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.92 G
- All situations
- 3 G1.4
- 1.91 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.4
- 1.01 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.78 – 1.42
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 20
- 49%
- Faceoffs
- 51%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 1/2
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 24
- Hits
- 22
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 8
- Giveaways
- 6
- 5
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
